Deckers Outdoor Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DECK Stock | USD 181.91 5.55 3.15% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Deckers Outdoor is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Deckers Outdoor's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Deckers Outdoor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Deckers Stock please use our How to buy in Deckers Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Deckers and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Deckers Outdoor. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Deckers |
Execute Deckers Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice
The Deckers recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Deckers Outdoor. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Deckers Outdoor or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Deckers Outdoor's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Deckers Outdoor Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Deckers Outdoor has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Deckers Outdoors chief administrative officer sells 3.15 million in stock |
Deckers Outdoor Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Deckers Outdoor's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Deckers Outdoor's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Deckers Outdoor daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Deckers Outdoor price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Deckers Outdoor returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Deckers Outdoor.
| Mean Return | 0.19 | Value At Risk | -3.72 | Potential Upside | 3.96 | Standard Deviation | 2.45 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Deckers Outdoor historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Deckers Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Amf Pensionsforsakring Ab | 2024-09-30 | 952.8 K | Congress Asset Management Company, Llp | 2024-09-30 | 884 K | Abrdn Plc | 2024-09-30 | 794.1 K | Robeco Institutional Asset Management Bv | 2024-09-30 | 745 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 666.5 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 526.3 K | Qube Research & Technologies | 2024-06-30 | 369.9 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 313.4 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-06-30 | 279.2 K | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 22.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 17.4 M |
Deckers Outdoor Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (32.8M) | 33.4M | (228.6M) | (26.1M) | 58.5M | 61.5M | |
| Change In Cash | 59.7M | 439.9M | (245.8M) | 138.3M | 520.3M | 546.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 253.9M | 564.0M | 121.3M | 456.4M | 943.8M | 991.0M | |
| Depreciation | 38.9M | 40.5M | 42.9M | 47.9M | 57.2M | 60.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.9M | 22.2M | 4.5M | 9.9M | 12.9M | 14.5M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 32.5M | 32.2M | 51.0M | 81.0M | 89.4M | 93.8M | |
| Net Income | 276.1M | 382.6M | 451.9M | 516.8M | 759.6M | 797.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 649.4M | 1.1B | 843.5M | 981.8M | 1.5B | 1.6B | |
| Change To Netincome | 20.3M | 21.3M | 2.0M | 24.9M | 28.6M | 23.4M | |
| Investments | (32.0M) | (32.2M) | (51.0M) | (81.0M) | (89.3M) | (84.9M) | |
| Change Receivables | (10.5M) | (33.2M) | (86.6M) | (806K) | (926.9K) | (973.2K) | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.5M) | (464K) | (31.3M) | (1.5M) | (1.4M) | (1.3M) |
Deckers Outdoor Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Deckers Outdoor or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Deckers Outdoor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Deckers stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Deckers Outdoor Volatility Alert
Deckers Outdoor currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Deckers Outdoor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Deckers Outdoor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Deckers Outdoor Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Deckers Outdoor's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Deckers Outdoor's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Deckers Outdoor and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Deckers Outdoor or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Deckers Outdoor's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Deckers Outdoor by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Deckers Outdoor to competition |
| Fundamentals | Deckers Outdoor | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.44 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.22 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 25.83 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 151.92 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.46 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.52 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.2 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 30.19 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 12.05 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.75 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.29 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.61 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.04 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 759.56 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 419.26 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.81 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 266.88 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.13 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.63 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 14.63 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.03 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.87 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.66 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.71 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 190.59 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.8 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.05 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 26.79 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.14 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.91 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.72 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Thomas Garcia of 7192 shares of Deckers Outdoor at 69.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Deckers Outdoor Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Deckers . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Deckers Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Deckers Outdoor? Buying financial instruments such as Deckers Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Deckers Outdoor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Deckers Stock please use our How to buy in Deckers Stock guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deckers Outdoor. If investors know Deckers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Deckers Outdoor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.395 | Earnings Share 5.66 | Revenue Per Share 30.395 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.201 | Return On Assets 0.216 |
The market value of Deckers Outdoor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Deckers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Deckers Outdoor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Deckers Outdoor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Deckers Outdoor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Deckers Outdoor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Deckers Outdoor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deckers Outdoor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deckers Outdoor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.