Deckers Outdoor Stock Market Outlook
| DECK Stock | USD 119.34 19.44 19.46% |
About 58% of all Deckers Outdoor's institutional investors are looking to take a long position. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Deckers Outdoor stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Deckers Outdoor's investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards Deckers Outdoor.
Comfort Level 58
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Deckers Outdoor's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Deckers Outdoor.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Deckers Outdoor is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Deckers Outdoor's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute Deckers Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice
The Deckers recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Deckers Outdoor. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Deckers Outdoor or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Deckers Outdoor's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Deckers Outdoor Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Deckers Outdoor appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Deckers Outdoor has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Assessing Deckers Outdoor Valuation As Analyst Views Split Ahead Of Fiscal Q3 Earnings |
Deckers Outdoor Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Deckers Outdoor's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Deckers Outdoor's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Deckers Outdoor daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Deckers Outdoor price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Deckers Outdoor returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Deckers Outdoor.
| Mean Return | 0.24 | Value At Risk | -3.35 | Potential Upside | 4.06 | Standard Deviation | 2.35 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Deckers Outdoor historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Deckers Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.5 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 1.4 M | Tredje Ap-fonden | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Td Asset Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 1.3 M | Amundi | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Aspex Management (hk) Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2025-06-30 | 1.2 M | Fmr Inc | 2025-06-30 | 22.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 17.6 M |
Deckers Outdoor Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (228.6M) | (26.1M) | 58.5M | (24.3M) | (21.9M) | (23.0M) | |
| Change In Cash | (245.8M) | 138.3M | 520.3M | 387.1M | 445.2M | 467.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 121.3M | 456.4M | 943.8M | 958.4M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| Depreciation | 42.9M | 47.9M | 57.2M | 69.4M | 79.8M | 83.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.5M | 9.9M | 12.9M | 14.9M | 17.1M | 14.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 51.0M | 81.0M | 89.4M | 86.2M | 99.1M | 104.1M | |
| Net Income | 451.9M | 516.8M | 759.6M | 966.1M | 1.1B | 1.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 843.5M | 981.8M | 1.5B | 1.9B | 2.2B | 2.3B | |
| Change To Netincome | 20.3M | 21.3M | 2.0M | 24.9M | 28.6M | 23.4M | |
| Investments | (51.0M) | (81.0M) | (89.3M) | (75.0M) | (67.5M) | (70.9M) | |
| Change Receivables | (10.5M) | (33.2M) | (86.6M) | (806K) | (926.9K) | (973.2K) | |
| Net Borrowings | (464K) | (31.3M) | 0.0 | (1.5M) | (1.4M) | (1.3M) |
Deckers Outdoor Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Deckers Outdoor or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Deckers Outdoor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Deckers stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Deckers Outdoor Volatility Alert
Deckers Outdoor currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.08 and Jensen Alpha of 0.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Deckers Outdoor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Deckers Outdoor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Deckers Outdoor Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Deckers Outdoor's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Deckers Outdoor's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Deckers Outdoor and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Deckers Outdoor or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Deckers Outdoor's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Deckers Outdoor by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Deckers Outdoor to competition |
| Fundamentals | Deckers Outdoor | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.43 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.22 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 12.82 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 145.74 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.58 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.48 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.64 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 30.19 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.58 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.83 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 4.99 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 3.02 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.32 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 966.09 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 419.26 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.81 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 276.98 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.13 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.63 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 16.73 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.04 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.35 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 7.04 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.61 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 120.78 | |
| Number Of Employees | 5.5 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 14.82 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.63 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.31 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.09 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Angela Ogbechie of Deckers Outdoor subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Deckers Outdoor Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Deckers . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Deckers Outdoor Target Price Consensus
Deckers target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Deckers Outdoor's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 24 | Buy |
Most Deckers analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Deckers stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Deckers Outdoor, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationDeckers Outdoor Target Price Projection
Deckers Outdoor's current and average target prices are 119.34 and 120.78, respectively. The current price of Deckers Outdoor is the price at which Deckers Outdoor is currently trading. On the other hand, Deckers Outdoor's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Deckers Outdoor Market Quote on 31st of January 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Deckers Outdoor Target Price
Deckers Outdoor Analyst Ratings
Deckers Outdoor's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Deckers Outdoor stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Deckers Outdoor's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Deckers Outdoor's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Deckers Outdoor Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Deckers Outdoor? Buying financial instruments such as Deckers Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Deckers Outdoor Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Deckers Stock please use our How to buy in Deckers Stock guide.You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deckers Outdoor. Projected growth potential of Deckers fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Deckers Outdoor assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.144 | Earnings Share 7.04 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.091 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Deckers Outdoor requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Deckers's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Deckers Outdoor's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Deckers Outdoor's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Deckers Outdoor's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Deckers Outdoor should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Deckers Outdoor's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.