Deckers Outdoor Stock Volatility
| DECK Stock | USD 192.15 10.24 5.63% |
Deckers Outdoor appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Deckers Outdoor secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.13, which denotes the company had a 0.13% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Deckers Outdoor, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Deckers Outdoor's Semi Deviation of 2.0, downside deviation of 2.37, and Mean Deviation of 1.73 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Deckers Outdoor's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Deckers Outdoor Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Deckers daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Deckers's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Deckers Outdoor volatility.
Deckers |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Deckers Outdoor's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Deckers Outdoor's managers and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Deckers Outdoor at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Deckers stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving together with Deckers Stock
Moving against Deckers Stock
| 0.79 | EZGO | EZGO Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | FEBO | Fenbo Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | WLDS | Wearable Devices Buyout Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | DOOO | BRP Inc Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | VMAR | Vision Marine Techno | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | VNCE | Vince Holding Corp | PairCorr |
Deckers Outdoor Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Deckers Outdoor's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Deckers stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Deckers stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Deckers Outdoor's beta of 1.1 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Deckers Outdoor stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Deckers Outdoor currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.07 and Jensen Alpha of 0.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Deckers Outdoor's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Deckers Outdoor's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Deckers Outdoor Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Deckers Outdoor correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Deckers Beta |
Deckers standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.56 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Deckers Outdoor's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Deckers Outdoor's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in deckers stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Deckers Outdoor.
Deckers Outdoor Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Deckers Outdoor stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Deckers Outdoor's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Deckers Outdoor's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Deckers Outdoor's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Deckers Outdoor's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Deckers Outdoor's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Deckers Outdoor's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Deckers Outdoor's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Deckers Outdoor Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Deckers Outdoor Projected Return Density Against Market
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.0979 suggesting Deckers Outdoor market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Deckers Outdoor is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Deckers Outdoor or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Deckers Outdoor's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Deckers stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Deckers Outdoor has an alpha of 0.1752, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Deckers Outdoor Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Deckers Outdoor Stock Risk Measures
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Deckers Outdoor is 775.43. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.55 and standard deviation of 2.56. The mean deviation of Deckers Outdoor is currently at 1.71. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Deckers Outdoor Stock Return Volatility
Deckers Outdoor historical daily return volatility represents how much of Deckers Outdoor stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company inherits 2.5585% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7685% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Deckers Outdoor Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Deckers Outdoor or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Deckers Outdoor may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Deckers's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Deckers Outdoor and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Deckers Outdoor fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 348.9 M | 179.1 M | |
| Market Cap | 24.1 B | 1 B |
Deckers Outdoor's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Deckers Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Deckers Outdoor's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Deckers Outdoor's volatility to invest better
Higher Deckers Outdoor's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Deckers Outdoor stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Deckers Outdoor stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Deckers Outdoor investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Deckers Outdoor's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Deckers Outdoor's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Deckers Outdoor Investment Opportunity
Deckers Outdoor has a volatility of 2.56 and is 3.32 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 22 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Deckers Outdoor. You can use Deckers Outdoor to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of Deckers Outdoor to be traded at $240.19 in 90 days.Weak diversification
The correlation between Deckers Outdoor and DJI is 0.33 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Deckers Outdoor and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Deckers Outdoor Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Deckers Outdoor's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Deckers Outdoor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Deckers Outdoor stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1021 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2903 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.37 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 806.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Deckers Outdoor Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Deckers Outdoor as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Deckers Outdoor's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Deckers Outdoor's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Deckers Outdoor.
When determining whether Deckers Outdoor is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Deckers Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Deckers Outdoor Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Deckers Outdoor Stock: Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Deckers Outdoor. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. For more information on how to buy Deckers Stock please use our How to buy in Deckers Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Deckers Outdoor. If investors know Deckers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Deckers Outdoor listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.395 | Earnings Share 5.67 | Revenue Per Share 30.395 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.201 | Return On Assets 0.216 |
The market value of Deckers Outdoor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Deckers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Deckers Outdoor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Deckers Outdoor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Deckers Outdoor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Deckers Outdoor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Deckers Outdoor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Deckers Outdoor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Deckers Outdoor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.