Ecopetrol Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| EC Stock | USD 12.20 0.47 4.01% |
Ecopetrol Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ecopetrol stock prices and determine the direction of Ecopetrol SA ADR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Ecopetrol's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Ecopetrol's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4438 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.199 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2698 | Wall Street Target Price 9.9273 |
Using Ecopetrol hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ecopetrol SA ADR from the perspective of Ecopetrol response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ecopetrol using Ecopetrol's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ecopetrol using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ecopetrol's stock price.
Ecopetrol Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ecopetrol's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ecopetrol. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ecopetrol stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 9.4389 | Short Percent 0.0738 | Short Ratio 6.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 15.2 M | 50 Day MA 10.7106 |
Ecopetrol Relative Strength Index
Ecopetrol SA ADR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ecopetrol's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ecopetrol. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ecopetrol can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ecopetrol SA ADR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ecopetrol's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ecopetrol.
Ecopetrol Implied Volatility | 0.8 |
Ecopetrol's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ecopetrol SA ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ecopetrol's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ecopetrol stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ecopetrol's options are near their expiration.
Ecopetrol after-hype prediction price | USD 11.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ecopetrol contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ecopetrol SA ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.05% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Ecopetrol trading at USD 12.2, that is roughly USD 0.0061 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ecopetrol's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ecopetrol SA ADR options at the current volatility level of 0.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Ecopetrol Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ecopetrol's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ecopetrol's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ecopetrol stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ecopetrol's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ecopetrol's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ecopetrol is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ecopetrol. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ecopetrol Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ecopetrol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ecopetrol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ecopetrol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 92296.04 | 0.0385 |
| Check Ecopetrol Volatility | Backtest Ecopetrol | Information Ratio |
Ecopetrol Trading Date Momentum
| On February 06 2026 Ecopetrol SA ADR was traded for 12.20 at the closing time. The highest price during the trading period was 12.20 and the lowest recorded bid was listed for 11.73 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 6, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to the current price is 3.85% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Ecopetrol to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Ecopetrol
For every potential investor in Ecopetrol, whether a beginner or expert, Ecopetrol's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ecopetrol Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ecopetrol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ecopetrol's price trends.Ecopetrol Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ecopetrol stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ecopetrol could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ecopetrol by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ecopetrol Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ecopetrol stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ecopetrol shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ecopetrol stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ecopetrol SA ADR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ecopetrol Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ecopetrol's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ecopetrol's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ecopetrol stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Variance | 4.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ecopetrol
The number of cover stories for Ecopetrol depends on current market conditions and Ecopetrol's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ecopetrol is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ecopetrol's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ecopetrol Short Properties
Ecopetrol's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ecopetrol's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ecopetrol SA ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ecopetrol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ecopetrol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.9 T |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ecopetrol to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could Ecopetrol diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ecopetrol. Projected growth potential of Ecopetrol fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Ecopetrol data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.30) | Earnings Share 1.33 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Ecopetrol SA ADR requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Ecopetrol's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Ecopetrol's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Ecopetrol's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Ecopetrol's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Ecopetrol should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Ecopetrol's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.