Farmer Bros Co Stock Market Outlook
| FARM Stock | USD 1.54 0.06 3.75% |
About 52% of Farmer Bros' investors are presently thinking to get in. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Farmer Bros Co stock suggests that some investors are interested at this time. Farmer Bros' investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in Farmer Bros Co. Many technical investors use Farmer Bros stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.
Comfort Level 52
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Farmer Bros' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Farmer Bros Co.
News SentimentBearish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentAcquiring |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Farmer Bros Co is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Farmer Bros' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Execute Farmer Bros Advice
The Farmer recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Farmer Bros Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Farmer Bros Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Farmer Bros' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Farmer Bros Co has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0359, Jensen Alpha of 0.0189, Total Risk Alpha of (0.11), Sortino Ratio of 0.0092 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0777We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Farmer Bros. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Farmer Bros is not overpriced, please confirm all Farmer Bros fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Please also check Farmer Bros Co price to earning to verify your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.
Farmer Bros Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Farmer Bros may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 342.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 137.46 M. | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Farmer Bros. anticipates gross margin relief in Q4 2026 as green coffee costs ease |
Farmer Bros Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Farmer Bros' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Farmer Bros' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Farmer Bros daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Farmer Bros Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Farmer Bros returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Farmer Bros.
| Mean Return | 0.09 | Value At Risk | -3.9 | Potential Upside | 4.14 | Standard Deviation | 2.57 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Farmer Bros historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Farmer Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Farmer Bros, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmer Bros Co back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Tocqueville Asset Management L.p. | 2025-06-30 | 203 K | North Star Investment Management Corp | 2025-06-30 | 197 K | Smh Capital Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 152 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2025-06-30 | 107.7 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 97.2 K | State Street Corp | 2025-06-30 | 91.8 K | Advisory Services Network, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 84.4 K | Pathstone Holdings Llc | 2025-03-31 | 67.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 52.8 K | 22nw, Lp | 2025-06-30 | 2 M | Jcp Investment Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 992.8 K |
Farmer Bros Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (22.8M) | 19.8M | (8.0M) | 7.4M | 8.5M | 8.9M | |
| Change In Cash | (444K) | (4.6M) | 586K | 969K | 1.1M | 1.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (26.6M) | (21.9M) | (28.0M) | 6.5M | 5.9M | 3.2M | |
| Depreciation | 23.8M | 22.2M | 11.6M | 11.4M | 13.2M | 16.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (24.9M) | 28.6M | (17.2M) | 14.1M | 16.2M | 17.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 15.2M | 15.0M | 13.8M | 9.6M | 11.0M | 18.9M | |
| Net Income | (15.7M) | (79.2M) | (3.9M) | (14.5M) | (13.1M) | (12.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 10.0M | 5.4M | 6.0M | 7.0M | 6.3M | 6.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | 17.1M | (85.8M) | 86K | (9.2M) | (8.3M) | (7.9M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 26.2M | (6.6M) | 22.4M | 36.2M | 41.6M | 43.7M | |
| Investments | (6.0M) | 88.4M | 14.7M | (5.9M) | (6.8M) | (7.1M) |
Farmer Bros Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Farmer Bros or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Farmer Bros' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Farmer stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Farmer Bros Volatility Alert
Farmer Bros Co currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Farmer Bros' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Farmer Bros' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Farmer Bros Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Farmer Bros' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Farmer Bros' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Farmer Bros and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Farmer Bros or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Farmer Bros' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Farmer Bros by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Farmer Bros to competition |
| Fundamentals | Farmer Bros | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.48 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0221 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 84.35 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 21.6 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 20.60 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 34.69 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 44.53 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 22.93 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.83 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.1 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 342.28 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 137.46 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 4.53 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (14.52 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 10.14 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.54 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 53.36 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.30 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.88 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.64 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 16.1 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.73 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.63) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.63 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 2.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 865 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.21 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 33.27 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 161.23 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (44.87 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 14.52 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 2360 shares by Brian Miller of Farmer Bros at 1.59 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Farmer Bros Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Farmer . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Farmer Bros Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Farmer Bros Co? Buying financial instruments such as Farmer Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Farmer Bros in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Furniture Thematic Idea Now
Furniture
Companies producing and selling home and office furniture. The Furniture theme has 43 constituents at this time.
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Check out Farmer Bros Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could Farmer diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmer Bros. Market participants price Farmer higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Farmer Bros data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | Earnings Share (0.63) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets |
Understanding Farmer Bros requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Farmer's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Farmer Bros' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Farmer Bros' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmer Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmer Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Farmer Bros' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.