Farmer Bros Co Stock Performance

FARM Stock  USD 2.09  0.01  0.48%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.27, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Farmer Bros will likely underperform. At this point, Farmer Bros has a negative expected return of -0.39%. Please make sure to confirm Farmer Bros' treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Farmer Bros performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Farmer Bros Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in December 2024. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.24)
Five Day Return
2.2
Year To Date Return
(31.09)
Ten Year Return
(92.73)
All Time Return
25.07
Last Split Factor
10:1
Dividend Date
2011-02-14
Ex Dividend Date
2011-01-26
Last Split Date
2004-05-11
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Begin Period Cash Flow5.4 M
  

Farmer Bros Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  283.00  in Farmer Bros Co on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (73.00) from holding Farmer Bros Co or give up 25.8% of portfolio value over 90 days. Farmer Bros Co is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 3.9807% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Farmer, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Farmer Bros is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 5.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Farmer Bros Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Farmer Bros' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Farmer Bros Co, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Farmer Bros' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0977

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Negative ReturnsFARM

Estimated Market Risk

 3.98
  actual daily
35
65% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.39
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.1
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Farmer Bros is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Farmer Bros by adding Farmer Bros to a well-diversified portfolio.

Farmer Bros Fundamentals Growth

Farmer Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Farmer Bros, and Farmer Bros fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Farmer Stock performance.

About Farmer Bros Performance

By examining Farmer Bros' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Farmer Bros' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Farmer Bros is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 100.81  132.24 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.09)(0.09)

Things to note about Farmer Bros performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Farmer Bros for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Farmer Bros help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Farmer Bros generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Farmer Bros has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 341.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 114.61 M.
Farmer Bros Co currently holds about 10.14 M in cash with (14.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.54.
Farmer Bros has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from deadline.com: The Boroughs Duffer Brothers Supernatural Mystery Series Adds Cast
Evaluating Farmer Bros' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Farmer Bros' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Farmer Bros' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Farmer Bros' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Farmer Bros' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Farmer Bros' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Farmer Bros' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Farmer Bros' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Farmer Bros' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Farmer Bros' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Farmer Bros' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Farmer Bros is a strong investment it is important to analyze Farmer Bros' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Farmer Bros' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Farmer Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Farmer Bros Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmer Bros. If investors know Farmer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmer Bros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.37)
Revenue Per Share
16.318
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.039
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.19)
The market value of Farmer Bros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmer Bros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmer Bros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmer Bros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmer Bros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmer Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmer Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmer Bros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.