Farmer Bros Co Stock Analysis

FARM Stock  USD 2.23  0.13  6.19%   
Farmer Bros Co is undervalued with Real Value of 3.16 and Target Price of 6.0. The main objective of Farmer Bros stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Farmer Bros Co is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Farmer Bros' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Farmer Bros stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Farmer Bros is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Farmer Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Farmer Bros Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Farmer Stock Analysis Notes

About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.09. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Farmer Bros has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.37. The firm last dividend was issued on the 26th of January 2011. Farmer Bros had 10:1 split on the 11th of May 2004. Co. engages in the roasting, wholesale, equipment servicing, and distribution of coffee, tea, and other allied products in the United States. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Northlake, Texas. Farmer Brothers operates under Packaged Foods classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1068 people. To learn more about Farmer Bros Co call Deverl II at 682 549 6600 or check out https://www.farmerbros.com.

Farmer Bros Quarterly Total Revenue

85.07 Million

Farmer Bros Investment Alerts

Farmer Bros generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Farmer Bros has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 341.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 114.61 M.
Farmer Bros Co currently holds about 10.14 M in cash with (14.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.54.
Farmer Bros has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from cnn.com: The Avett Brothers on how a shipwreck inspired an album, and then a Broadway musical

Farmer Bros Upcoming and Recent Events

14th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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8th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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10th of September 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of June 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Farmer Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Farmer Bros' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2019-02-11
2018-12-310.020.040.02100 
2017-11-07
2017-09-300.050.03-0.0240 
2013-11-07
2013-09-300.140.11-0.0321 
View All Earnings Estimates

Farmer Bros Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Farmer Bros' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Farmer Bros' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Farmer Bros' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Farmer Bros' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Farmer Bros Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Farmer Bros stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Food Products Idea
Food Products
USA Equities from Food Products industry as classified by Fama & French

Farmer Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
209.3 K
Tocqueville Asset Management L.p.2024-09-30
203 K
Smh Capital Inc.2024-09-30
154.3 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
91.8 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
75 K
Advisory Services Network, Llc2024-06-30
74.3 K
Hodges Capital Management Inc2024-06-30
61 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
52.8 K
Ridgewood Investments Llc2024-09-30
42.5 K
22nw, Lp2024-06-30
M
Penn Capital Management Company Llc2024-09-30
M
Note, although Farmer Bros' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Farmer Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Micro-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 44.66 M.

Farmer Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.02) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.01) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.01.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Equity(0.09)(0.09)

Management Efficiency

Farmer Bros has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.049) % which means that it has lost $0.049 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.1923) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Farmer Bros' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Farmer Bros manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 26th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to -0.02. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to -0.02. At this time, Farmer Bros' Total Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of November 2024, Non Current Assets Total is likely to grow to about 128.7 M, while Other Current Assets are likely to drop about 4.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 2.18  2.07 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 1.64  1.56 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 6.80  7.14 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.15  1.26 
Enterprise Value Multiple 6.80  7.14 
Price Fair Value 1.15  1.26 
Enterprise Value88 M83.6 M
The strategic initiatives led by Farmer Bros' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
(0.01)
Profit Margin
(0.02)
Beta
1.779
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.19)

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of November, Farmer Bros shows the Variance of 15.58, standard deviation of 3.95, and Mean Deviation of 2.58. Farmer Bros technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Farmer Bros market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Farmer Bros is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 2.23 per share. Please also check Farmer Bros Co jensen alpha, which is currently at (0.51) to verify the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Farmer Bros Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Farmer Bros middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Farmer Bros. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Farmer Bros Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Farmer Bros insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Farmer Bros' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Farmer Bros insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Farmer Bros Outstanding Bonds

Farmer Bros issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Farmer Bros uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Farmer bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Farmer Bros Co has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Farmer Bros Predictive Daily Indicators

Farmer Bros intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Farmer Bros stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Farmer Bros Corporate Filings

8K
19th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
14th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
12th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
4th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
25th of October 2024
An amendment to a previously filed Form 10-K
ViewVerify
F4
16th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
12th of September 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Farmer Bros Forecast Models

Farmer Bros' time-series forecasting models are one of many Farmer Bros' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Farmer Bros' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Farmer Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Farmer Bros prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Farmer shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Farmer Bros. By using and applying Farmer Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Farmer entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Operating Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Net Loss(0.01)(0.01)
Gross Profit Margin 0.39  0.52 

Current Farmer Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Farmer analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Farmer analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
6.0Strong Buy2Odds
Farmer Bros Co current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Farmer analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Farmer stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Farmer Bros, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Farmer conference calls.
Farmer Analyst Advice Details

Farmer Stock Analysis Indicators

Farmer Bros Co stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Farmer Bros stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Farmer Bros shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Farmer Bros stock analysis, traders can identify Farmer Bros position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow5.4 M
Long Term Debt23.3 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity45.5 M
Tax Provision14 K
Property Plant And Equipment Net69.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.8 M
Cash5.8 M
Accounts Payable48.5 M
Net Debt53.6 M
50 Day M A1.9788
Total Current Liabilities77 M
Other Operating Expenses343.3 M
Non Current Assets Total82.2 M
Non Currrent Assets Other1.8 M
Stock Based Compensation3.8 M
When determining whether Farmer Bros is a strong investment it is important to analyze Farmer Bros' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Farmer Bros' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Farmer Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Farmer Bros Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmer Bros. If investors know Farmer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmer Bros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.37)
Revenue Per Share
16.318
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.039
Return On Assets
(0.05)
Return On Equity
(0.19)
The market value of Farmer Bros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmer Bros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmer Bros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmer Bros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmer Bros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmer Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmer Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmer Bros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.