Fresh Del (Germany) Market Outlook

FDM Stock  EUR 35.48  0.04  0.11%   
Roughly 55% of Fresh Del's investor base is interested to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Fresh Del Monte stock suggests that many investors are impartial at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Fresh Del's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Fresh Del Monte stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.

Comfort Level 45

 Impartial

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Fresh Del's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Fresh Del Monte.
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Fresh Del Monte is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Fresh Del buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding FDM positions.

Execute Fresh Del Advice

The Fresh recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Fresh Del Monte. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Fresh Del Monte or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Fresh Del's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Fresh DelBuy Fresh Del
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Fresh Del Monte has a Mean Deviation of 1.3, Semi Deviation of 1.49, Standard Deviation of 1.79, Variance of 3.19, Downside Variance of 3.07 and Semi Variance of 2.22
Fresh Del advice module can be used to check and cross-verify current investment recommendation provided by analysts reviewing the company's potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Fresh Del is not overpriced, please confirm all Fresh Del Monte fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, shares owned by institutions, as well as the relationship between the current valuation and shares owned by insiders .

Fresh Del Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Fresh Del Monte has accumulated 1.5 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 43.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Fresh Del Monte has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Fresh Del until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fresh Del's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fresh Del Monte sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fresh to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fresh Del's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 73.0% of Fresh Del shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Stocks Showing Improving Market Leadership Fresh Del Monte Produce Earns 83 RS Rating - Investors Business Daily

Fresh Del Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Fresh Del's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Fresh Del's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Fresh Del daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Fresh Del Monte price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Fresh Del returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Fresh Del.
Mean Return
0.21
Value At Risk
-2.56
Potential Upside
2.94
Standard Deviation
1.79
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Fresh Del historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Fresh Del Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory(105.1M)(72.1M)64.7M(1.5M)(1.4M)(1.4M)
Change In Cash(400K)1.1M16.6M(1.2M)(1.4M)(1.4M)
Net Borrowings(22.6M)20.7M(139.8M)(155.9M)(140.3M)(133.3M)
Depreciation95M96.8M92.5M84.8M90.3M95.0M
Dividends Paid23.7M28.7M35.9M47.8M55.0M29.9M
Capital Expenditures98.5M48.1M57.7M51.7M46.5M90.5M
Net Income80M98.6M(11.4M)142.2M128.0M69.4M
Change To Netincome11.6M(700K)(17.1M)7.3M6.6M6.2M
End Period Cash Flow16.1M17.2M33.8M32.6M37.5M26.4M
Free Cash Flow30M13.7M120.2M130.8M150.4M157.9M
Other Non Cash Items(6.4M)(6M)(800K)(6.1M)(5.5M)(5.2M)

Fresh Del Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fresh Del or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fresh Del's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fresh stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Fresh Del Volatility Alert

Fresh Del Monte has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.24 and kurtosis of 2.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fresh Del's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fresh Del's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Fresh Del Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Fresh Del's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Fresh Del's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Fresh Del and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Fresh Del or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Fresh Del's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fresh Del by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Fresh Del to competition
FundamentalsFresh DelPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0463-0.31
Return On Asset0.0379-0.14
Profit Margin0.02 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.83 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding47.77 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions73.35 %39.21 %
Price To Earning70.29 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.95 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.42 X11.42 X
Revenue4.28 B9.43 B
Gross Profit399.1 M27.38 B
EBITDA258.9 M3.9 B
Net Income142.2 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents16.2 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.33 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.5 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity43.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.91 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share35.97 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations182.5 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.38 X3.12 X
Target Price38.5
Number Of Employees33.8 K18.84 K
Beta0.28-0.15
Market Capitalization1.8 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.44 B9.33 B
Working Capital599.8 M1.48 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return1.32 %
Net Asset3.1 B

Fresh Del Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fresh . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Fresh Del Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Fresh Del Monte? Buying financial instruments such as Fresh Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Fresh Del in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Consumer Staples ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Consumer Staples ETFs
Consumer Staples ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Consumer Staples ETFs theme has 15 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Consumer Staples ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Fresh Del Monte is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Fresh Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Fresh Del Monte Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Fresh Del Monte Stock:
Check out Fresh Del Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fresh Del's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fresh Del is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Fresh Del's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.