Fresh Del (Germany) Price Patterns

FDM Stock  EUR 35.52  0.24  0.67%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Fresh Del's stock price is roughly 61. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 19th of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fresh, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fresh Del's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fresh Del and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fresh Del's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fresh Del Monte, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fresh Del's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.055
Wall Street Target Price
38.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.002
Using Fresh Del hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fresh Del Monte from the perspective of Fresh Del response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fresh Del to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fresh because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Fresh Del after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 33.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Fresh Del Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.9532.5634.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.4333.0534.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.250.300.35
Details

Fresh Del After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fresh Del at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fresh Del or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fresh Del, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fresh Del Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fresh Del's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fresh Del's historical news coverage. Fresh Del's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.06 and 35.28, respectively. We have considered Fresh Del's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.52
33.67
After-hype Price
35.28
Upside
Fresh Del is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fresh Del Monte is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fresh Del Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fresh Del is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fresh Del backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fresh Del, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.79
  0.13 
  0.73 
10 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.52
33.67
0.09 
471.05  
Notes

Fresh Del Hype Timeline

Fresh Del Monte is currently traded for 35.52on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.73. Fresh is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 33.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Fresh Del is about 80.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.25. The company reported the revenue of 4.28 B. Net Income was 142.2 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 361.8 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Fresh Del Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fresh Del Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fresh Del's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fresh Del's future price movements. Getting to know how Fresh Del's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fresh Del may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PQ9PT Bank Mandiri 0.04 1 per month 5.73  0.05  17.39 (14.29) 40.26 
PQ90BK MANDIRI ADR20 0.00 0 per month 3.77  0.07  11.49 (9.09) 42.92 
BYRAPT Bank Rakyat 0.00 0 per month 4.15  0.02  11.11 (10.00) 26.67 
SSUNSamsung Electronics Co 54.00 8 per month 2.27  0.22  6.04 (4.93) 14.94 
SSUSamsung Electronics Co 10.00 2 per month 2.34  0.23  7.66 (4.89) 15.03 
SSUNSamsung Electronics Co(12.00)1 per month 2.22  0.23  6.10 (4.11) 13.83 
SSUSamsung Electronics Co(30.00)1 per month 2.11  0.25  6.22 (3.69) 15.50 
BZG2PT Bank Central 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.02) 7.50 (7.69) 22.82 
TCIDTelkom Indonesia Tbk 0.00 1 per month 5.37  0.01  12.50 (15.00) 35.42 
PTIPerusahaan Perseroan PT 0.1 3 per month 2.50 (0.02) 3.47 (3.30) 16.77 

Fresh Del Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fresh price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fresh using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fresh charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Fresh Del Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Fresh Del stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fresh Del Monte, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fresh Del based on analysis of Fresh Del hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fresh Del's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fresh Del's related companies.

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Complementary Tools for Fresh Stock analysis

When running Fresh Del's price analysis, check to measure Fresh Del's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fresh Del is operating at the current time. Most of Fresh Del's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fresh Del's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fresh Del's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fresh Del to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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