Fresh Del (Germany) Volatility
| FDM Stock | EUR 35.52 0.24 0.67% |
Fresh Del appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Fresh Del Monte secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.17, which denotes the company had a 0.17 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Fresh Del Monte, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Fresh Del's Downside Deviation of 1.77, coefficient of variation of 900.03, and Mean Deviation of 1.31 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.17
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Estimated Market Risk
| 1.79 actual daily | 16 84% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.3 actual daily | 6 94% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.17 actual daily | 13 87% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Fresh Del is performing at about 13% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Fresh Del by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Fresh Del's volatility include:90 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 90 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Fresh Del Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Fresh daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Fresh's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Fresh Del volatility.
Fresh |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Fresh Del can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Fresh Del at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Fresh Del's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Fresh Del's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta (0.08) | Alpha 0.19 | Risk 1.79 | Sharpe Ratio 0.17 | Expected Return 0.3 |
Moving together with Fresh Stock
| 0.7 | L3X | Centrais Elétricas Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | FV6 | EMMI N Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | TQI | TELECOM ITALIA | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | OTP | OTP Bank Nyrt | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | CPA | Colgate Palmolive | PairCorr |
Moving against Fresh Stock
| 0.75 | IB5A | I CABLE M | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | MBJ | MBIA Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | AJW | ANGES MG | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | TLIK | TELES Informationstech | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | MBJ | MBIA Inc Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | 8LU | TAURUS ENERGY AB | PairCorr |
Fresh Del Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Fresh Del's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Fresh stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Fresh stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Fresh Del's beta of -0.0843 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Fresh Del stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Fresh Del Monte has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.24 and kurtosis of 2.18. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Fresh Del's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Fresh Del's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Fresh Del Monte Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Fresh Del correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Fresh Del Volatility and Downside Risk
Fresh standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Fresh Del Monte Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Fresh Del stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Fresh Del's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Fresh Del's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Fresh Del's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Fresh Del's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Fresh Del's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Fresh Del's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Fresh Del's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Fresh Del Monte Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Fresh Del Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fresh Del Monte has a beta of -0.0843 . This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fresh Del are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fresh Del Monte is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Fresh Del or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Fresh Del's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Fresh stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Fresh Del Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Fresh Del Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Fresh Del is 588.26. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 3.21 and standard deviation of 1.79. The mean deviation of Fresh Del Monte is currently at 1.27. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.77
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Fresh Del Stock Return Volatility
Fresh Del historical daily return volatility represents how much of Fresh Del stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 1.7922% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.751% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Related Correlations Analysis
Correlation Matchups
Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.High positive correlations
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Risk-Adjusted Indicators
There is a big difference between Fresh Stock performing well and Fresh Del Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Fresh Del's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.| Mean Deviation | Jensen Alpha | Sortino Ratio | Treynor Ratio | Semi Deviation | Expected Shortfall | Potential Upside | Value @Risk | Maximum Drawdown | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PQ9 | 4.85 | 0.27 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 5.73 | 17.39 | 40.26 | |||
| PQ90 | 3.00 | 0.29 | 0.05 | 4.62 | 3.94 | 11.49 | 42.92 | |||
| BYRA | 3.70 | 0.30 | 0.02 | (0.14) | 4.07 | 11.11 | 26.67 | |||
| SSUN | 2.60 | 0.73 | 0.25 | 0.87 | 2.27 | 6.04 | 14.94 | |||
| SSU | 2.94 | 0.95 | 0.34 | 3.97 | 2.24 | 7.66 | 15.03 | |||
| SSUN | 2.52 | 0.89 | 0.28 | (0.97) | 2.20 | 6.10 | 13.83 | |||
| SSU | 2.88 | 1.04 | 0.34 | (1.21) | 2.09 | 6.22 | 15.50 | |||
| BZG2 | 2.79 | (0.06) | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 7.50 | 22.82 | |||
| TCID | 4.01 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 0.63 | 5.37 | 12.50 | 35.42 | |||
| PTI | 1.56 | (0.04) | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | 3.47 | 16.77 |
About Fresh Del Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Fresh Del or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Fresh Del may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Fresh's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Fresh Del and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Fresh Del fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc., through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and distributes fresh and fresh-cut fruits and vegetables in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally. Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. was founded in 1886 and is based in George Town, Cayman Islands. FRESH DEL is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange in Germany.
Fresh Del's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Fresh Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Fresh Del's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Fresh Del's volatility to invest better
Higher Fresh Del's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Fresh Del Monte stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Fresh Del Monte stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Fresh Del Monte investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Fresh Del's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Fresh Del's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Fresh Del Investment Opportunity
Fresh Del Monte has a volatility of 1.79 and is 2.39 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Fresh Del Monte is lower than 16 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Fresh Del Monte to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a moderate downward daily trend and can be a good diversifier. Check odds of Fresh Del to be traded at €34.81 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between Fresh Del Monte and DJI is 0.53 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Fresh Del Monte and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Fresh Del Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fresh Del's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fresh Del's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Fresh Del stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0909 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (2.24) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 900.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.8 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Fresh Del Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Fresh Del as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Fresh Del's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Fresh Del's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Fresh Del Monte.
Complementary Tools for Fresh Stock analysis
When running Fresh Del's price analysis, check to measure Fresh Del's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fresh Del is operating at the current time. Most of Fresh Del's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fresh Del's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fresh Del's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fresh Del to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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