Imperial Oil Stock Technical Analysis

IMO Stock  CAD 145.70  5.43  3.87%   
As of the 4th of February, Imperial Oil retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.06, risk adjusted performance of 0.0952, and Downside Deviation of 2.06. Imperial Oil technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Imperial Oil Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Imperial, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Imperial
  
Imperial Oil's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Imperial Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Imperial Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Imperial Oil's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.

Imperial Oil 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Imperial Oil's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Imperial Oil.
0.00
11/06/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/04/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Imperial Oil on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Imperial Oil or generate 0.0% return on investment in Imperial Oil over 90 days. Imperial Oil is related to or competes with Suncor Energy, TC Energy, Cenovus Energy, Enbridge, Cameco Corp, Pembina Pipeline, and Canadian Natural. Imperial Oil Limited explores for, produces, and sells crude oil and natural gas in Canada More

Imperial Oil Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Imperial Oil's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Imperial Oil upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Imperial Oil Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Imperial Oil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Imperial Oil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Imperial Oil historical prices to predict the future Imperial Oil's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
143.73145.55147.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
131.13173.38175.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
137.09138.91140.73
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.231.551.93
Details

Imperial Oil February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Imperial Oil Backtested Returns

Imperial Oil appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Imperial Oil holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Imperial Oil, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Imperial Oil's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 1.06, risk adjusted performance of 0.0952, and Downside Deviation of 2.06 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Imperial Oil holds a performance score of 10. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.2, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Imperial Oil's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Imperial Oil is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Imperial Oil's treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Imperial Oil's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.52  

Good reverse predictability

Imperial Oil has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Imperial Oil time series from 6th of November 2025 to 21st of December 2025 and 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Imperial Oil price movement. The serial correlation of -0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current Imperial Oil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.52
Spearman Rank Test-0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance85.88
Imperial Oil technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Imperial Oil technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Imperial Oil trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Imperial Oil Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Imperial Oil volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Imperial Oil Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Imperial Oil on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Imperial Oil based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Imperial Oil price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Imperial Oil. By analyzing Imperial Oil's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Imperial Oil's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Imperial Oil specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02540.02640.0248
Price To Sales Ratio0.850.910.9

Imperial Oil February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Imperial help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Imperial from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Imperial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Imperial Oil February 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Imperial stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
When determining whether Imperial Oil offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Imperial Oil's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Imperial Oil Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Imperial Oil Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Imperial Oil. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
To learn how to invest in Imperial Stock, please use our How to Invest in Imperial Oil guide.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Imperial Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Imperial Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Imperial Oil's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.