Johnson Controls International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| JCI Stock | USD 83.97 0.99 1.19% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Johnson Controls International is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Johnson Controls' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Johnson Controls Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Johnson and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Johnson Controls International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Johnson |
Execute Johnson Controls Buy or Sell Advice
The Johnson recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Johnson Controls International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Johnson Controls International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Johnson Controls' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Johnson Controls Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 18th of October 2024 Johnson Controls paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 186 shares by Marc Vandiepenbeeck of Johnson Controls at 83.61 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Johnson Controls Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Johnson Controls' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Johnson Controls' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Johnson Controls daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Johnson Controls International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Johnson Controls returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Johnson Controls.
| Mean Return | 0.27 | Value At Risk | -1.66 | Potential Upside | 2.49 | Standard Deviation | 1.58 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Johnson Controls historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Johnson Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2024-09-30 | 12.2 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 12.2 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 10.5 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 8.8 M | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 7.2 M | Barrow Hanley Mewhinney & Strauss Llc | 2024-09-30 | 6.8 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 5.9 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 5.7 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 5.5 M | Dodge & Cox | 2024-09-30 | 85.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 68 M |
Johnson Controls Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 250M | (219M) | (773M) | (81M) | (17M) | (17.9M) | |
| Change In Cash | (870M) | (624M) | 689M | (1.2B) | (150M) | (142.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 879M | 1.9B | 1.4B | 1.7B | 1.1B | 550.1M | |
| Depreciation | 206M | 845M | 830M | 848M | 816M | 665.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (105M) | (787M) | 211M | (1.9B) | 828M | 869.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 194M | 762M | 916M | 980M | 1B | 1.1B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 96M | 552M | 592M | 539M | 494M | 760.4M | |
| Net Income | 490M | 1.7B | 1.7B | 2.0B | 1.4B | 883.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.0B | 1.3B | 2.0B | 2.2B | 767M | 614.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 50M | (566M) | 363M | 229M | 206.1M | 216.4M | |
| Investments | 51M | (1.1B) | (693M) | (1.2B) | (1.4B) | (1.3B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 373M | (28M) | 2.0B | (433M) | (389.7M) | (370.2M) |
Johnson Controls Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Johnson Controls or Building Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Johnson Controls' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Johnson stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Johnson Controls Volatility Alert
Johnson Controls International has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.48 and kurtosis of 12.5. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Johnson Controls' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Johnson Controls' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Johnson Controls Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Johnson Controls' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Johnson Controls' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Johnson Controls and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Johnson Controls or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Johnson Controls' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Johnson Controls by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Johnson Controls to competition |
| Fundamentals | Johnson Controls | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0805 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0356 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 63.84 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 662.19 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.30 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 91.45 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.78 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 30.53 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.41 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.39 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 8.08 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 8.97 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.68 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.41 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 2.03 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.96 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 9.49 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.59 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.04 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 24.20 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.1 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.46 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.08 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.41 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 85.69 | |
| Number Of Employees | 100 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.31 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 54.95 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 42.7 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.38 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (347 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 186 shares by Marc Vandiepenbeeck of Johnson Controls at 54.33 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Johnson Controls Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Johnson . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Johnson Controls Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Johnson Controls International? Buying financial instruments such as Johnson Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Johnson Controls Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Johnson Controls. If investors know Johnson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Johnson Controls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.18 | Dividend Share 1.48 | Earnings Share 2.08 | Revenue Per Share 34.064 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) |
The market value of Johnson Controls Int is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Johnson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Johnson Controls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Johnson Controls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Johnson Controls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Johnson Controls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Johnson Controls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Johnson Controls is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Johnson Controls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.