Johnson Controls International Stock Performance

JCI Stock  USD 137.65  5.13  3.87%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Johnson Controls holds a performance score of 9. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.66, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Johnson Controls' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Johnson Controls is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Johnson Controls' standard deviation, value at risk, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Johnson Controls' current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Johnson Controls International are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak fundamental indicators, Johnson Controls demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.87
Five Day Return
15.67
Year To Date Return
12.54
Ten Year Return
322.89
All Time Return
36.9 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0116
Payout Ratio
0.3831
Last Split Factor
955:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
1.6
Dividend Date
2026-01-16
1
Stock market today Dow, SP 500, Nasdaq gain after Dows rally to record
01/06/2026
2
Johnson Controls International plc JCI Shares Acquired by Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc.
01/13/2026
 
Johnson Controls dividend paid on 16th of January 2026
01/16/2026
3
Johnson Controls Named to the Fortune Worlds Most Admired Companies 2026 List
01/30/2026
4
AP reports on forever chemical contamination of private water wells
02/02/2026
5
Is Johnson Controls International Pricing In Too Much Growth After Recent Share Price Surge
02/03/2026
6
Johnson Controls International Issues FY 2026 Earnings Guidance
02/04/2026
7
Johnson Controls International Price Target Raised to 145.00 at Wells Fargo Company
02/05/2026
8
Johnson Controls Extends Data Center Push As Valuation Runs Ahead Of Fair Value
02/06/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow612 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities6.1 B

Johnson Controls Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,217  in Johnson Controls International on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,548  from holding Johnson Controls International or generate 12.67% return on investment over 90 days. Johnson Controls International is generating 0.2059% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.6381% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Johnson, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Johnson Controls is expected to generate 2.02 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Johnson Controls Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Johnson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 137.65 90 days 137.65 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Johnson Controls to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Johnson Controls International probability density function shows the probability of Johnson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Johnson Controls has a beta of 0.66. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Johnson Controls average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Johnson Controls International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Johnson Controls International has an alpha of 0.2577, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Johnson Controls Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Johnson Controls

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Controls Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Johnson Controls' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
136.44138.08139.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
123.89147.30148.94
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
127.35139.95155.34
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.231.281.31
Details

Johnson Controls Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Johnson Controls is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Johnson Controls' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Johnson Controls International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Johnson Controls within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.26
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
5.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Johnson Controls Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Johnson Controls for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Johnson Controls Int can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of January 2026 Johnson Controls paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Johnson Controls Extends Data Center Push As Valuation Runs Ahead Of Fair Value

Johnson Controls Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Johnson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Johnson Controls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johnson Controls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding654.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments379 M

Johnson Controls Fundamentals Growth

Johnson Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Johnson Controls, and Johnson Controls fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Johnson Stock performance.

About Johnson Controls Performance

By evaluating Johnson Controls' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Johnson Controls' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Johnson Controls has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Johnson Controls has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 39.85  36.08 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.18 
Return On Capital Employed 0.12  0.15 
Return On Assets 0.10  0.10 
Return On Equity 0.29  0.31 

Things to note about Johnson Controls Int performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Johnson Controls for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Johnson Controls Int help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of January 2026 Johnson Controls paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Johnson Controls Extends Data Center Push As Valuation Runs Ahead Of Fair Value
Evaluating Johnson Controls' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Johnson Controls' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Johnson Controls' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Johnson Controls' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Johnson Controls' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Johnson Controls' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Johnson Controls' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Johnson Controls' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Johnson Controls' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Johnson Controls' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Johnson Controls' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Johnson Controls' price analysis, check to measure Johnson Controls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Controls is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Controls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Controls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Controls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Controls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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