Johnson Controls International Stock Technical Analysis
| JCI Stock | USD 119.26 1.02 0.85% |
As of the 2nd of February, Johnson Controls retains the Downside Deviation of 1.72, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1895, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0475. Johnson Controls technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Johnson Controls Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Johnson, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to JohnsonJohnson Controls' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Johnson Controls Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 134.44 | Buy | 23 | Odds |
Most Johnson analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Johnson stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Johnson Controls Int, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Johnson conference calls.
Is there potential for Building Products market expansion? Will Johnson introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Johnson Controls. Expected growth trajectory for Johnson significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Johnson Controls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.813 | Dividend Share 1.51 | Earnings Share 2.61 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
Understanding Johnson Controls Int requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Johnson's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Johnson Controls' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Johnson Controls' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Johnson Controls' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Johnson Controls represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Johnson Controls' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Johnson Controls 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Johnson Controls' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Johnson Controls.
| 11/04/2025 |
| 02/02/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Johnson Controls on November 4, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Johnson Controls International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Johnson Controls over 90 days. Johnson Controls is related to or competes with Carrier Global, Emerson Electric, Transdigm Group, Cintas, Trane Technologies, Thomson Reuters, and Illinois Tool. Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning... More
Johnson Controls Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Johnson Controls' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Johnson Controls International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.032 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.94 |
Johnson Controls Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Johnson Controls' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Johnson Controls' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Johnson Controls historical prices to predict the future Johnson Controls' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0475 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0735 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0061 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0328 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1795 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Johnson Controls' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Johnson Controls February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0475 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1895 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1739.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Variance | 3.1 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.032 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0735 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0061 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0328 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1795 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.12) | |||
| Skewness | 1.15 | |||
| Kurtosis | 10.49 |
Johnson Controls Int Backtested Returns
Johnson Controls is very steady at the moment. Johnson Controls Int holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0762, which attests that the entity had a 0.0762 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Johnson Controls Int, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Johnson Controls' Downside Deviation of 1.72, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1895, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0475 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. Johnson Controls has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.51, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Johnson Controls' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Johnson Controls is expected to be smaller as well. Johnson Controls Int right now retains a risk of 1.79%. Please check out Johnson Controls value at risk, kurtosis, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and semi variance , to decide if Johnson Controls will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.73 |
Good predictability
Johnson Controls International has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Johnson Controls time series from 4th of November 2025 to 19th of December 2025 and 19th of December 2025 to 2nd of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Johnson Controls Int price movement. The serial correlation of 0.73 indicates that around 73.0% of current Johnson Controls price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.73 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 14.23 |
Johnson Controls technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Johnson Controls Int Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Johnson Controls Int volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Johnson Controls Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Johnson Controls International on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Johnson Controls International based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Johnson Controls Int price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Johnson Controls Int. By analyzing Johnson Controls's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Johnson Controls's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Johnson Controls specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0191 | 0.0136 | 0.0123 | 0.0167 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.28 | 3.04 | 2.73 | 2.87 |
Johnson Controls February 2, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Johnson help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Johnson from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Johnson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0475 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1895 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1739.88 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Variance | 3.1 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.032 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0735 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0061 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0328 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1795 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.08 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.00) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.12) | |||
| Skewness | 1.15 | |||
| Kurtosis | 10.49 |
Johnson Controls February 2, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Johnson stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.55) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 119.85 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 119.65 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.10) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.86 |
Complementary Tools for Johnson Stock analysis
When running Johnson Controls' price analysis, check to measure Johnson Controls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Controls is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Controls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Controls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Controls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Controls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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