Magnolia Oil Gas Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MGY Stock  USD 28.23  0.52  1.88%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Magnolia Oil Gas is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Magnolia Oil Gas given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Magnolia Oil. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Magnolia Oil Gas, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Magnolia Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Magnolia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Magnolia Oil Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Magnolia Oil Buy or Sell Advice

The Magnolia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Magnolia Oil Gas. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Magnolia Oil Gas or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Magnolia Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Magnolia OilBuy Magnolia Oil
Strong Buy

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Magnolia Oil Gas has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0931, Jensen Alpha of 0.0852, Total Risk Alpha of (0.04), Sortino Ratio of 0.0574 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1616
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Magnolia Oil Gas. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Magnolia Oil Gas is not overpriced, please verify all Magnolia Oil Gas fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Magnolia Oil Gas has a price to earning of 6.83 X, we recommend you to check Magnolia Oil market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Magnolia Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. Reduces Stake in Magnolia Oil Gas Corp

Magnolia Oil Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Magnolia Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Magnolia Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Magnolia Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Magnolia Oil Gas price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Magnolia Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Magnolia Oil.
Mean Return
0.23
Value At Risk
-3.67
Potential Upside
2.89
Standard Deviation
2.03
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Magnolia Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Magnolia Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Magnolia Oil, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Magnolia Oil Gas back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
4.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
4.7 M
Enervest, Ltd.2024-09-30
4.2 M
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc2024-06-30
M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
M
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
3.5 M
Td Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
3.4 M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-06-30
M
Wasatch Advisors Lp2024-06-30
M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
29.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
20.5 M
Note, although Magnolia Oil's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Magnolia Oil Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Magnolia Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Magnolia Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Magnolia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.37
σ
Overall volatility
2.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Magnolia Oil Volatility Alert

Magnolia Oil Gas currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.09. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Magnolia Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Magnolia Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Magnolia Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Magnolia Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Magnolia Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Magnolia Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Magnolia Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Magnolia Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Magnolia Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Magnolia Oil to competition
FundamentalsMagnolia OilPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.29 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.39 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.41 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding191.04 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.38 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.62 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted30.43 M4.71 M
Price To Earning6.83 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.77 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.23 X11.42 X
Revenue1.23 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.5 B27.38 B
EBITDA879.05 M3.9 B
Net Income383.96 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents675.44 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.66 X5.01 X
Total Debt409.55 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.31 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.96 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations855.79 M971.22 M
Short Ratio15.86 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.03 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.46 X4.89 X
Target Price27.53
Number Of Employees24718.84 K
Beta2.0-0.15
Market Capitalization5.55 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.76 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings486.16 M9.33 B
Working Capital276.39 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Arcilia Acosta of tradable shares of Magnolia Oil subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Magnolia Oil Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Magnolia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Magnolia Oil Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Magnolia Oil Gas? Buying financial instruments such as Magnolia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Magnolia Oil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Petroleum and Natural Gas Thematic Idea Now

Petroleum and Natural Gas
Petroleum and Natural Gas Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Petroleum and Natural Gas theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Petroleum and Natural Gas Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Magnolia Stock Analysis

When running Magnolia Oil's price analysis, check to measure Magnolia Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magnolia Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Magnolia Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magnolia Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magnolia Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magnolia Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.