Magnolia Oil Valuation

MGY Stock  USD 28.19  0.60  2.08%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Magnolia Oil Gas secures a last-minute Real Value of $27.07 per share. The latest price of the firm is $28.19. Our model forecasts the value of Magnolia Oil Gas from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.29 %, current valuation of 5.62 B, and Return On Equity of 0.22 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Magnolia Oil's valuation include:
Price Book
2.8824
Enterprise Value
5.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
6.0109
Price Sales
4.3135
Forward PE
15.8983
Overvalued
Today
28.19
Please note that Magnolia Oil's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Magnolia Oil Gas is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Magnolia Oil's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Magnolia Oil is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Magnolia Stock. However, Magnolia Oil's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  28.19 Real  27.07 Target  26.83 Hype  28.64 Naive  28.69
The intrinsic value of Magnolia Oil's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Magnolia Oil's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
27.07
Real Value
29.11
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Magnolia Oil Gas helps investors to forecast how Magnolia stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Magnolia Oil more accurately as focusing exclusively on Magnolia Oil's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.470.490.51
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.6028.6430.68
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.310.320.32
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
24.4226.8329.78
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Magnolia Oil's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Magnolia Oil's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Magnolia Oil's closest peers.

Magnolia Oil Cash

269.1 Million

Magnolia Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Magnolia Oil's enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Magnolia Oil Gas over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Magnolia Valuation Data Drivers

View More Fundamentals

Magnolia Revenue by Product

Magnolia Oil Total Value Analysis

Magnolia Oil Gas is now forecasted to have company total value of 5.62 B with market capitalization of 5.66 B, debt of 409.55 M, and cash on hands of 675.44 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Magnolia Oil fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
5.62 B
5.66 B
409.55 M
675.44 M

Magnolia Oil Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Magnolia Oil was now reported as 9.97. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.46. Magnolia Oil Gas last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2024. Based on the analysis of Magnolia Oil's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Magnolia Oil Gas may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial distress next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities656.8 M855.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Magnolia Oil Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Magnolia Oil has an asset utilization ratio of 44.52 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.45 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Magnolia Oil Gas is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid

Magnolia Oil Ownership Allocation

The majority of Magnolia Oil outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Magnolia Oil Gas to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Magnolia Oil Gas. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Magnolia Oil as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company.

Magnolia Oil Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.23 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 383.96 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.5 B.

Magnolia Oil Past Distributions to stockholders

About Magnolia Oil Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Magnolia Oil. We calculate exposure to Magnolia Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Magnolia Oil's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit692.9 M574.8 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.45  0.47 
Operating Profit Margin 0.44  0.46 
Net Profit Margin 0.32  0.33 
Gross Profit Margin 0.56  0.42 
Magnolia Oil's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Magnolia Oil's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Magnolia Oil can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Magnolia Oil represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Magnolia, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Magnolia Oil Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Magnolia Oil's Dividends Paid is fairly stable compared to the past year. Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to rise to 0.24 in 2024, whereas Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.01 in 2024. . At this time, Magnolia Oil's Retained Earnings are fairly stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to rise to about 175.5 M in 2024, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop (0.19) in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid88.1 M92.5 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.23  0.24 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.95  1.34 
There are various types of dividends Magnolia Oil can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Magnolia shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Magnolia Oil Gas directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Magnolia pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Magnolia Oil by the value of the dividends paid out.

Magnolia Oil Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding188.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.035
Forward Price Earnings15.8983

Magnolia Oil Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Magnolia Oil Gas and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Magnolia we look at many different elements of the entity such as Magnolia's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Magnolia Oil, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Magnolia Oil's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Magnolia Oil's worth.

Additional Tools for Magnolia Stock Analysis

When running Magnolia Oil's price analysis, check to measure Magnolia Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magnolia Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Magnolia Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magnolia Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magnolia Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magnolia Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.