Is Magnolia Oil Stock a Good Investment?

Magnolia Oil Investment Advice

  MGY
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Magnolia Oil Gas stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Magnolia Oil Gas. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Magnolia Oil in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Magnolia Oil's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Magnolia Oil's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Magnolia Oil navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space and any emerging trends that could impact Magnolia Oil's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Magnolia Oil's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Magnolia Oil is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Magnolia Oil pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Magnolia Oil's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Magnolia Oil Gas stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Magnolia Oil Gas is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Hold
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Magnolia Oil Gas. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Magnolia Oil Gas is not overpriced, please verify all Magnolia Oil Gas fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Magnolia Oil Gas has a price to earning of 6.83 X, we recommend you to check Magnolia Oil market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Magnolia Oil Stock

Researching Magnolia Oil's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Magnolia Oil was now reported as 10.11. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.46. Magnolia Oil Gas last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2025.
To determine if Magnolia Oil is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Magnolia Oil's research are outlined below:
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 3rd of March 2025 Magnolia Oil paid $ 0.15 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: AlphaQuest LLC Has 2.05 Million Position in Magnolia Oil Gas Co. - MarketBeat
Magnolia Oil uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Magnolia Oil Gas. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Magnolia Oil's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
1st of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Magnolia Oil's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Magnolia Oil's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-05
2020-09-300.070.06-0.0114 
2020-08-05
2020-06-30-0.06-0.08-0.0233 
2020-02-19
2019-12-310.070.05-0.0228 
2020-05-11
2020-03-31-0.08-0.11-0.0337 
2019-11-04
2019-09-300.090.05-0.0444 
2019-08-06
2019-06-300.160.12-0.0425 
2024-10-30
2024-09-300.480.530.0510 
2021-02-22
2020-12-310.10.150.0550 

Magnolia Oil Target Price Consensus

Magnolia target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Magnolia Oil's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   17  Buy
Strong Buy35.3%Buy11.8%Hold41.2%Sell0.0%Strong Sell11.8%
Most Magnolia analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Magnolia stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Magnolia Oil Gas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Magnolia Oil Target Price Projection

Magnolia Oil's current and average target prices are 25.00 and 28.00, respectively. The current price of Magnolia Oil is the price at which Magnolia Oil Gas is currently trading. On the other hand, Magnolia Oil's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Magnolia Oil Market Quote on 19th of March 2025

Low Price24.03Odds
High Price25.33Odds

25.0

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Magnolia Oil Target Price

Low Estimate25.48Odds
High Estimate31.08Odds

28.0

Historical Lowest Forecast  25.48 Target Price  28.0 Highest Forecast  31.08
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Magnolia Oil Gas and the information provided on this page.

Magnolia Oil Analyst Ratings

Magnolia Oil's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Magnolia Oil stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Magnolia Oil's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Magnolia Oil's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.
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JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Strong Buy Buy Hold Sell Strong Sell

Know Magnolia Oil's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Magnolia Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Magnolia Oil Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Magnolia Oil's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Magnolia Oil's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Victory Capital Management Inc.2024-12-31
4.7 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-12-31
4.1 M
Silvercrest Asset Management Group Llc2024-12-31
3.8 M
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2024-12-31
3.5 M
Td Asset Management Inc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Btim Corp2024-12-31
3.1 M
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-12-31
3.1 M
Systematic Financial Management Lp2024-12-31
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-12-31
2.8 M
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
28.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
20.9 M
Note, although Magnolia Oil's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Magnolia Oil's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.67 B.

Market Cap

0.0

Magnolia Oil's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.13  0.14 
Return On Capital Employed 0.20  0.12 
Return On Assets 0.13  0.14 
Return On Equity 0.19  0.20 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.28 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.38 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.38 of operating income.
Determining Magnolia Oil's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Magnolia Oil is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Magnolia Oil's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Magnolia Oil's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
Please note, the imprecision that can be found in Magnolia Oil's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Magnolia Oil Gas. Check Magnolia Oil's Beneish M Score to see the likelihood of Magnolia Oil's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Magnolia Oil's management efficiency

Magnolia Oil Gas has Return on Asset of 0.1148 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.1148 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.2064 %, implying that it generated $0.2064 on every 100 dollars invested. Magnolia Oil's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Magnolia Oil manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Magnolia Oil's Return On Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Return On Assets is likely to rise to 0.14 in 2025, whereas Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop 0.12 in 2025. At this time, Magnolia Oil's Return On Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to rise to 0.01 in 2025, whereas Total Assets are likely to drop slightly above 2.4 B in 2025.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 10.55  7.53 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 10.55  13.65 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 4.87  4.70 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.22  1.67 
Enterprise Value Multiple 4.87  4.70 
Price Fair Value 2.22  1.67 
At Magnolia Oil Gas, effective management practices are pivotal to sustaining long-term profitability. We delve into financial metrics and market conditions to provide a comprehensive analysis of the stock's prospects.
Dividend Yield
0.025
Forward Dividend Yield
0.025
Forward Dividend Rate
0.6
Beta
1.908

Basic technical analysis of Magnolia Stock

As of the 19th of March, Magnolia Oil secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), standard deviation of 1.9, and Mean Deviation of 1.51. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Magnolia Oil Gas, as well as the relationship between them.

Magnolia Oil's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Magnolia Oil insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Magnolia Oil's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Magnolia Oil insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Magnolia Oil's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Magnolia Oil issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Magnolia Oil Gas uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Magnolia bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Magnolia Oil Gas has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Magnolia Oil's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Magnolia Oil's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Magnolia Oil's intraday indicators

Magnolia Oil intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Magnolia Oil stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Magnolia Oil Corporate Filings

7th of March 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
19th of February 2025
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
8K
18th of February 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
Magnolia Oil time-series forecasting models is one of many Magnolia Oil's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Magnolia Oil's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Magnolia Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Magnolia Oil that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Magnolia media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Magnolia internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Magnolia data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Magnolia Oil news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Magnolia Oil relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Magnolia Oil's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Magnolia Oil alpha.

Magnolia Oil Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Magnolia Oil can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
58.3%
71.7%
58.4%
53.0%
59.6%
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Magnolia Oil Gas Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Magnolia Oil's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Magnolia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Magnolia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Magnolia Oil Gas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
News FrequencyInvestor Sentiment
Magnolia Oil's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Magnolia Oil and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Magnolia Oil news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Magnolia Oil.

Magnolia Oil Maximum Pain Price Across June 20th 2025 Option Contracts

Magnolia Oil's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Magnolia Oil close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Magnolia Oil's options.
Calls PricePuts Price

Magnolia Oil Corporate Management

James LarsonIndependent DirectorProfile
Tom FitterInvestor ExecutiveProfile
John WalkerDirectorProfile
Brian CPACFO VPProfile

Additional Tools for Magnolia Stock Analysis

When running Magnolia Oil's price analysis, check to measure Magnolia Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magnolia Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Magnolia Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magnolia Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magnolia Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magnolia Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.