MSC Industrial Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator

MSM Stock  USD 83.48  0.11  0.13%   
MSC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although MSC Industrial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of MSC Industrial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of MSC Industrial fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of MSC Industrial's share price is approaching 48. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling MSC Industrial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MSC Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MSC Industrial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MSC Industrial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MSC Industrial Direct, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MSC Industrial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.118
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.2954
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.8576
Wall Street Target Price
86
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.945
Using MSC Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MSC Industrial Direct from the perspective of MSC Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MSC Industrial using MSC Industrial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MSC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MSC Industrial's stock price.

MSC Industrial Short Interest

An investor who is long MSC Industrial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about MSC Industrial and may potentially protect profits, hedge MSC Industrial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
85.3945
Short Percent
0.0889
Short Ratio
5.33
Shares Short Prior Month
3.6 M
50 Day MA
85.5606

MSC Relative Strength Index

MSC Industrial Direct Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to MSC Industrial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MSC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MSC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MSC Industrial Direct. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MSC Industrial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MSC Industrial.

MSC Industrial Implied Volatility

    
  0.35  
MSC Industrial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MSC Industrial Direct stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MSC Industrial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MSC Industrial stock will not fluctuate a lot when MSC Industrial's options are near their expiration.

MSC Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 83.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MSC Industrial to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MSC contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MSC Industrial Direct will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With MSC Industrial trading at USD 83.48, that is roughly USD 0.0183 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MSC Industrial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MSC Industrial Direct options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 MSC Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast MSC Industrial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in MSC Industrial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for MSC Industrial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current MSC Industrial's open interest, investors have to compare it to MSC Industrial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of MSC Industrial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in MSC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

MSC Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MSC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MSC using various technical indicators. When you analyze MSC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
MSC Industrial Direct has current Price Action Indicator of (0.20). Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check MSC Industrial VolatilityBacktest MSC IndustrialInformation Ratio  

MSC Industrial Trading Date Momentum

On January 28 2026 MSC Industrial Direct was traded for  83.48  at the closing time. Highest MSC Industrial's price during the trading hours was 84.06  and the lowest price during the day was  83.19 . The net volume was 279.5 K. The overall trading history on the 28th of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.06% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare MSC Industrial to competition

Other Forecasting Options for MSC Industrial

For every potential investor in MSC, whether a beginner or expert, MSC Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MSC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MSC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MSC Industrial's price trends.

MSC Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MSC Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MSC Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MSC Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MSC Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MSC Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MSC Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MSC Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MSC Industrial Direct entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MSC Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of MSC Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MSC Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting msc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for MSC Industrial

The number of cover stories for MSC Industrial depends on current market conditions and MSC Industrial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MSC Industrial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MSC Industrial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

MSC Industrial Short Properties

MSC Industrial's future price predictability will typically decrease when MSC Industrial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MSC Industrial Direct often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MSC Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MSC Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding55.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments56.2 M
When determining whether MSC Industrial Direct is a strong investment it is important to analyze MSC Industrial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact MSC Industrial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding MSC Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MSC Industrial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Will Trading Companies & Distributors sector continue expanding? Could MSC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MSC Industrial. Expected growth trajectory for MSC significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MSC Industrial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.118
Dividend Share
3.44
Earnings Share
3.67
Revenue Per Share
68.273
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.04
Investors evaluate MSC Industrial Direct using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MSC Industrial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MSC Industrial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MSC Industrial's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MSC Industrial represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MSC Industrial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.