National Retail Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

NNN Stock  USD 41.91  0.46  1.11%   
National Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although National Retail's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of National Retail's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of National Retail fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of National Retail's share price is at 59. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling National Retail, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of National Retail's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National Retail Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting National Retail's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4871
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9773
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.0202
Wall Street Target Price
44.3125
Using National Retail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Retail Properties from the perspective of National Retail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards National Retail using National Retail's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards National using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of National Retail's stock price.

National Retail Short Interest

An investor who is long National Retail may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about National Retail and may potentially protect profits, hedge National Retail with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
41.7257
Short Percent
0.0382
Short Ratio
3.56
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
40.7736

National Relative Strength Index

National Retail Prop Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to National Retail's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in National. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding National can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around National Retail Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of National Retail's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about National Retail.

National Retail Implied Volatility

    
  0.54  
National Retail's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of National Retail Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if National Retail's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that National Retail stock will not fluctuate a lot when National Retail's options are near their expiration.

National Retail after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 41.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Retail to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current National contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that National Retail Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With National Retail trading at USD 41.91, that is roughly USD 0.0141 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating National Retail's daily price movement you should consider acquiring National Retail Properties options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 National Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast National Retail's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in National Retail's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for National Retail stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current National Retail's open interest, investors have to compare it to National Retail's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of National Retail is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in National. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

National Retail Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
National Retail Properties has current Accumulation Distribution of 12750.32. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which National Retail is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of National Retail Properties to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by National Retail trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check National Retail VolatilityBacktest National RetailInformation Ratio  

National Retail Trading Date Momentum

On February 03 2026 National Retail Properties was traded for  41.91  at the closing time. Highest National Retail's price during the trading hours was 41.98  and the lowest price during the day was  41.42 . The net volume was 955.8 K. The overall trading history on the 3rd of February did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 1.07% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare National Retail to competition

Other Forecasting Options for National Retail

For every potential investor in National, whether a beginner or expert, National Retail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. National Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in National. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying National Retail's price trends.

National Retail Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with National Retail stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of National Retail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Retail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

National Retail Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how National Retail stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading National Retail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying National Retail stock market strength indicators, traders can identify National Retail Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

National Retail Risk Indicators

The analysis of National Retail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National Retail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting national stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for National Retail

The number of cover stories for National Retail depends on current market conditions and National Retail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that National Retail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about National Retail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

National Retail Short Properties

National Retail's future price predictability will typically decrease when National Retail's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of National Retail Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential National Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding184 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.7 M
When determining whether National Retail Prop offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of National Retail's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of National Retail Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on National Retail Properties Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Retail to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Will Retail REITs sector continue expanding? Could National diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Retail. Anticipated expansion of National directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every National Retail data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
2.34
Earnings Share
2.07
Revenue Per Share
4.846
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.053
Understanding National Retail Prop requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects National's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what National Retail's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push National Retail's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between National Retail's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding National Retail should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, National Retail's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.