Northwestern Stock Technical Analysis
| NWE Stock | USD 67.66 0.20 0.29% |
As of the 4th of February, NorthWestern secures the Downside Deviation of 1.38, risk adjusted performance of 0.1, and Mean Deviation of 0.9986. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of NorthWestern, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify NorthWestern information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and kurtosis to decide if NorthWestern is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 67.66 per share. Given that NorthWestern has jensen alpha of 0.1482, we recommend you to check NorthWestern's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
NorthWestern Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as NorthWestern, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to NorthWesternNorthWestern | Build AI portfolio with NorthWestern Stock |
NorthWestern Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 62.6 | Strong Buy | 10 | Odds |
Most NorthWestern analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand NorthWestern stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of NorthWestern, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to NorthWestern conference calls.
Will Multi-Utilities sector continue expanding? Could NorthWestern diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NorthWestern. Anticipated expansion of NorthWestern directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every NorthWestern data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 2.63 | Earnings Share 3.53 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.121 |
Investors evaluate NorthWestern using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating NorthWestern's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause NorthWestern's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between NorthWestern's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NorthWestern should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, NorthWestern's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
NorthWestern 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to NorthWestern's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of NorthWestern.
| 11/06/2025 |
| 02/04/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in NorthWestern on November 6, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NorthWestern or generate 0.0% return on investment in NorthWestern over 90 days. NorthWestern is related to or competes with Black Hills, Otter Tail, Avista, MGE Energy, Excelerate Energy, Spire, and Companhia Paranaense. NorthWestern Corporation, doing business as NorthWestern Energy, provides electricity and natural gas to residential, co... More
NorthWestern Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure NorthWestern's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NorthWestern upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0899 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.78 |
NorthWestern Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for NorthWestern's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as NorthWestern's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use NorthWestern historical prices to predict the future NorthWestern's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1482 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0844 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0858 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5162 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NorthWestern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NorthWestern February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5262 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9986 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 768.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0899 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1482 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0844 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0858 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5162 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.04) | |||
| Skewness | (0.02) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4393 |
NorthWestern Backtested Returns
At this point, NorthWestern is very steady. NorthWestern has Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which conveys that the firm had a 0.11 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for NorthWestern, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify NorthWestern's Downside Deviation of 1.38, risk adjusted performance of 0.1, and Mean Deviation of 0.9986 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%. NorthWestern has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.31, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, NorthWestern's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding NorthWestern is expected to be smaller as well. NorthWestern right now secures a risk of 1.25%. Please verify NorthWestern potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if NorthWestern will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | 0.48 |
Average predictability
NorthWestern has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between NorthWestern time series from 6th of November 2025 to 21st of December 2025 and 21st of December 2025 to 4th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NorthWestern price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current NorthWestern price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.46 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.12 |
NorthWestern technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
NorthWestern Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of NorthWestern volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About NorthWestern Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of NorthWestern on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of NorthWestern based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on NorthWestern price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding NorthWestern. By analyzing NorthWestern's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of NorthWestern's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to NorthWestern specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0499 | 0.0484 | 0.0326 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.17 | 2.16 | 2.1 |
NorthWestern February 4, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of NorthWestern help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NorthWestern from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze NorthWestern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.5262 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.9986 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 768.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Variance | 1.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0899 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1482 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0844 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0858 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.5162 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.73 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.91 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.42 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.04) | |||
| Skewness | (0.02) | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.4393 |
NorthWestern February 4, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NorthWestern stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.17) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 67.93 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 67.84 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.37) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.18 |
Complementary Tools for NorthWestern Stock analysis
When running NorthWestern's price analysis, check to measure NorthWestern's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NorthWestern is operating at the current time. Most of NorthWestern's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NorthWestern's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NorthWestern's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NorthWestern to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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