Pathfinder Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PBHC Stock  USD 18.00  0.10  0.56%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Pathfinder Bancorp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Pathfinder Bancorp buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PBHC positions.
  
Check out Pathfinder Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Pathfinder Stock refer to our How to Trade Pathfinder Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Pathfinder and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Pathfinder Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Pathfinder Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice

The Pathfinder recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pathfinder Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pathfinder Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pathfinder Bancorp's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Pathfinder BancorpBuy Pathfinder Bancorp
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Pathfinder Bancorp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0754, Jensen Alpha of 0.2001, Total Risk Alpha of (0.19), Sortino Ratio of 0.0458 and Treynor Ratio of 1.07
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Pathfinder Bancorp and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Pathfinder Bancorp is not overpriced, please check all Pathfinder Bancorp fundamentals, including its revenue, total debt, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the net income and cash flow from operations . Given that Pathfinder Bancorp has a number of shares shorted of 4.27 K, we recommend you to check out Pathfinder Bancorp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Pathfinder Bancorp Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 8th of November 2024 Pathfinder Bancorp paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 13266 shares by Daniel Phillips of Pathfinder Bancorp at 11.35 subject to Rule 16b-3

Pathfinder Bancorp Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Pathfinder Bancorp's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pathfinder Bancorp's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pathfinder Bancorp daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pathfinder Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pathfinder Bancorp returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pathfinder Bancorp.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-2.49
Potential Upside
3.59
Standard Deviation
2.65
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pathfinder Bancorp historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Pathfinder Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Caldwell Sutter Capital Inc2024-09-30
14.8 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
10.2 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
8.3 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
5.9 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
1.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
988
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
366
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
19.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
0.0
Minerva Advisors Llc2024-09-30
262.2 K
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
260.6 K
Note, although Pathfinder Bancorp's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Pathfinder Bancorp Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(6.2M)23.3M(6.3M)(1.9M)13.5M14.1M
Free Cash Flow4.5M45.3M18.9M16.5M13.5M14.1M
Depreciation1.5M1.4M1.8M1.1M1.3M1.1M
Other Non Cash Items2.1M35.2M4.7M4.9M4.2M3.2M
Dividends Paid1.2M1.4M1.6M2.0M2.2M2.3M
Capital Expenditures3.6M1.3M1.2M5.2M2.0M1.8M
Net Income4.3M7.0M12.4M12.9M9.3M9.8M
End Period Cash Flow20.2M43.5M37.1M35.3M48.7M51.2M
Investments(162.8M)(149.2M)(54.5M)(131.2M)(27.7M)(29.1M)
Net Borrowings44.6M(24.8M)13.9M(15.0M)(13.5M)(12.8M)
Change To Netincome2.7M40.9M4.4M5.3M6.1M5.8M

Pathfinder Bancorp Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pathfinder Bancorp or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pathfinder Bancorp's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pathfinder stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.20
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.21
σ
Overall volatility
2.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Pathfinder Bancorp Volatility Alert

Pathfinder Bancorp currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pathfinder Bancorp's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pathfinder Bancorp's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Pathfinder Bancorp Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Pathfinder Bancorp's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pathfinder Bancorp's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pathfinder Bancorp and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pathfinder Bancorp or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pathfinder Bancorp's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pathfinder Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Pathfinder Bancorp to competition
FundamentalsPathfinder BancorpPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0182-0.31
Return On Asset0.0015-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(1.24) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation223.04 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.72 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders27.19 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions29.55 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.27 K4.71 M
Price To Earning15.34 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.09 X11.42 X
Revenue41.18 M9.43 B
Gross Profit44.56 M27.38 B
EBITDA13.12 M3.9 B
Net Income9.29 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents43.75 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.36 X5.01 X
Total Debt211.6 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.80 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share19.87 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations15.43 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.11 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.32 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees16118.84 K
Beta0.24-0.15
Market Capitalization109.8 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.47 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings76.06 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return1.72 %
Net Asset1.47 B
Last Dividend Paid0.39
Note: Disposition of 13266 shares by Daniel Phillips of Pathfinder Bancorp at 11.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Pathfinder Bancorp Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pathfinder . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Pathfinder Bancorp Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Pathfinder Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Pathfinder Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Pathfinder Bancorp in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Retail Thematic Idea Now

Retail
Retail Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Retail theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Retail Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Pathfinder Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Pathfinder Bancorp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Pathfinder Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Pathfinder Bancorp Stock:
Check out Pathfinder Bancorp Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Pathfinder Stock refer to our How to Trade Pathfinder Stock guide.
You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pathfinder Bancorp. If investors know Pathfinder will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pathfinder Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0)
Dividend Share
0.39
Earnings Share
0.32
Revenue Per Share
5.834
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.57)
The market value of Pathfinder Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pathfinder that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pathfinder Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pathfinder Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pathfinder Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pathfinder Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pathfinder Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pathfinder Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pathfinder Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.