Pegasystems Stock Technical Analysis
| PEGA Stock | USD 43.85 3.26 8.03% |
As of the 16th of February 2026, Pegasystems holds the Variance of 12.74, coefficient of variation of (882.27), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08). Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Pegasystems, as well as the relationship between them.
Pegasystems Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Pegasystems, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to PegasystemsPegasystems | Build AI portfolio with Pegasystems Stock |
Pegasystems Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 59.64 | Strong Buy | 14 | Odds |
Most Pegasystems analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Pegasystems stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Pegasystems, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Pegasystems conference calls.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pegasystems. Anticipated expansion of Pegasystems directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Pegasystems assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.043 | Dividend Share 0.09 | Earnings Share 2.13 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 |
Investors evaluate Pegasystems using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Pegasystems' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Pegasystems' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Pegasystems' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Pegasystems should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Pegasystems' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Pegasystems 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pegasystems' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pegasystems.
| 11/18/2025 |
| 02/16/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Pegasystems on November 18, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pegasystems or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pegasystems over 90 days. Pegasystems is related to or competes with Manhattan Associates, ZoomInfo Technologies, Paycom Software, InterDigital, Open Text, Appfolio, and Akamai Technologies. Pegasystems Inc. develops, markets, licenses, hosts, and supports enterprise software applications in the United States,... More
Pegasystems Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pegasystems' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pegasystems upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.03 |
Pegasystems Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pegasystems' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pegasystems' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pegasystems historical prices to predict the future Pegasystems' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.47) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.68) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.48) |
Pegasystems February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.47) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (882.27) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.57 | |||
| Variance | 12.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.47) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.68) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.48) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.03 | |||
| Skewness | (0.49) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.56 |
Pegasystems Backtested Returns
Pegasystems maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0768, which implies the firm had a -0.0768 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pegasystems exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pegasystems' Variance of 12.74, coefficient of variation of (882.27), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.86, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Pegasystems returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Pegasystems is expected to follow. At this point, Pegasystems has a negative expected return of -0.28%. Please make sure to check Pegasystems' potential upside, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and kurtosis , to decide if Pegasystems performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.82 |
Excellent reverse predictability
Pegasystems has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pegasystems time series from 18th of November 2025 to 2nd of January 2026 and 2nd of January 2026 to 16th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pegasystems price movement. The serial correlation of -0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Pegasystems price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.82 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.63 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 52.51 |
Pegasystems technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Pegasystems Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Pegasystems across different markets.
About Pegasystems Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Pegasystems on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pegasystems based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Pegasystems price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Pegasystems. By analyzing Pegasystems's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Pegasystems's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Pegasystems specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002452 | 0.001283 | 0.001512 | 0.001436 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.84 | 5.31 | 5.84 | 5.35 |
Pegasystems February 16, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Pegasystems help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pegasystems from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Pegasystems charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.47) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.54 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (882.27) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.57 | |||
| Variance | 12.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.13) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.47) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.68) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.48) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 17.31 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.09) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.03 | |||
| Skewness | (0.49) | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.56 |
Pegasystems February 16, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pegasystems stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.08 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.88 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.08 | ||
| Day Median Price | 42.29 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 42.81 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 3.19 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.70 |
Complementary Tools for Pegasystems Stock analysis
When running Pegasystems' price analysis, check to measure Pegasystems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pegasystems is operating at the current time. Most of Pegasystems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pegasystems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pegasystems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pegasystems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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