Pultegroup Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PHM Stock | USD 118.51 5.52 4.89% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding PulteGroup is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of PulteGroup's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out PulteGroup Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in PulteGroup Stock, please use our How to Invest in PulteGroup guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PulteGroup and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. PulteGroup. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
PulteGroup |
Execute PulteGroup Buy or Sell Advice
The PulteGroup recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PulteGroup. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PulteGroup or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PulteGroup's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
PulteGroup Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| PulteGroup generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| PulteGroup has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 3rd of January 2025 PulteGroup paid $ 0.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Will PulteGroup Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report |
PulteGroup Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of PulteGroup's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PulteGroup's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PulteGroup daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PulteGroup price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PulteGroup returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PulteGroup.
| Mean Return | -0.23 | Value At Risk | -3.21 | Potential Upside | 2.91 | Standard Deviation | 1.84 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PulteGroup historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
PulteGroup Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as PulteGroup, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PulteGroup back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 2.1 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 23.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 22.1 M |
PulteGroup Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.4B | (798.7M) | (739.0M) | 754.6M | 867.8M | 911.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.7B | 931.2M | 555.8M | 2.1B | 2.4B | 2.5B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 39.4M | 60.3M | 66.6M | 41.7M | 48.0M | 45.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 130.2M | 147.8M | 144.1M | (142.5M) | (163.8M) | (155.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 58.4M | 72.8M | 112.7M | 92.2M | 106.0M | 111.3M | |
| Net Income | 1.4B | 1.9B | 2.6B | 2.6B | 3.0B | 3.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.6B | 1.8B | 1.1B | 1.8B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Change To Inventory | 3.0M | (1.3B) | (2.3B) | (354.0M) | (318.6M) | (334.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 66.1M | 70.0M | 70.9M | 80.8M | 92.9M | 47.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 118.7M | 153.1M | 156.2M | 482.4M | 554.8M | 582.5M | |
| Investments | 27.2M | (47.7M) | (171.7M) | (112.1M) | (100.9M) | (95.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (331.8M) | 20.0M | (622.6M) | (55.4M) | (63.8M) | (60.6M) |
PulteGroup Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PulteGroup or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PulteGroup's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PulteGroup stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
PulteGroup Volatility Alert
PulteGroup exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.5 and kurtosis of 1.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PulteGroup's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PulteGroup's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.PulteGroup Implied Volatility
PulteGroup's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PulteGroup stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PulteGroup's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PulteGroup stock will not fluctuate a lot when PulteGroup's options are near their expiration.
PulteGroup Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing PulteGroup's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PulteGroup's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PulteGroup and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PulteGroup or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PulteGroup's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PulteGroup by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare PulteGroup to competition |
| Fundamentals | PulteGroup | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.17 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 23.79 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 205.08 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 93.94 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.85 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.99 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.04 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.34 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 16.06 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.14 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (1.23 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.6 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.47 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.03 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.96 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.34 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.60 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 56.31 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 2.2 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.43 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 13.55 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.30 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 142.07 | |
| Number Of Employees | 6.38 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.64 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 23.17 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 14.45 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 7.01 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 13.81 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 13220 shares by Robert Oshaughnessy of PulteGroup at 57.36 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
PulteGroup Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PulteGroup . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 212497.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.6979 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 117.36 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 117.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 3.92 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.52 |
About PulteGroup Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell PulteGroup? Buying financial instruments such as PulteGroup Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out PulteGroup Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in PulteGroup Stock, please use our How to Invest in PulteGroup guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PulteGroup. If investors know PulteGroup will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PulteGroup listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.156 | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 13.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.118 |
The market value of PulteGroup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PulteGroup that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PulteGroup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PulteGroup's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PulteGroup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PulteGroup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PulteGroup's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PulteGroup is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PulteGroup's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.