Pultegroup Stock Technical Analysis
| PHM Stock | USD 123.27 0.61 0.49% |
As of the 28th of January, PulteGroup holds the Coefficient Of Variation of 2938.64, risk adjusted performance of 0.0314, and Semi Deviation of 1.38. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of PulteGroup, as well as the relationship between them. Please check PulteGroup standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if PulteGroup is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its current price of 123.27 per share. Given that PulteGroup has jensen alpha of (0.05), we recommend you to check out PulteGroup's recent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
PulteGroup Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as PulteGroup, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to PulteGroupPulteGroup | Build AI portfolio with PulteGroup Stock |
PulteGroup Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 139.69 | Buy | 17 | Odds |
Most PulteGroup analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand PulteGroup stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of PulteGroup, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to PulteGroup conference calls.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PulteGroup. If investors know PulteGroup will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PulteGroup listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 0.88 | Earnings Share 12.96 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of PulteGroup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PulteGroup that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PulteGroup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PulteGroup's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PulteGroup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PulteGroup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PulteGroup's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PulteGroup is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PulteGroup's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
PulteGroup 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PulteGroup's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PulteGroup.
| 10/30/2025 |
| 01/28/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PulteGroup on October 30, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PulteGroup or generate 0.0% return on investment in PulteGroup over 90 days. PulteGroup is related to or competes with NVR, Lennar, Ulta Beauty, Williams Sonoma, Toll Brothers, Xpeng, and Restaurant Brands. PulteGroup, Inc., through its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the homebuilding business in the United States More
PulteGroup Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PulteGroup's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PulteGroup upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.19) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.0 |
PulteGroup Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PulteGroup's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PulteGroup's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PulteGroup historical prices to predict the future PulteGroup's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0314 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0375 |
PulteGroup January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0314 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0475 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2938.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 4.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0375 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.19) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.82) | |||
| Skewness | 1.4 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.96 |
PulteGroup Backtested Returns
As of now, PulteGroup Stock is very steady. PulteGroup maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0393, which implies the firm had a 0.0393 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for PulteGroup, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check PulteGroup's Coefficient Of Variation of 2938.64, semi deviation of 1.38, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0314 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0811%. PulteGroup has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of 1.55, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PulteGroup will likely underperform. PulteGroup right now holds a risk of 2.06%. Please check PulteGroup expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if PulteGroup will be following its historical price patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.69 |
Good predictability
PulteGroup has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PulteGroup time series from 30th of October 2025 to 14th of December 2025 and 14th of December 2025 to 28th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PulteGroup price movement. The serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current PulteGroup price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.69 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.62 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 27.18 |
PulteGroup technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
PulteGroup Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for PulteGroup across different markets.
About PulteGroup Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of PulteGroup on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of PulteGroup based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on PulteGroup price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding PulteGroup. By analyzing PulteGroup's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of PulteGroup's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to PulteGroup specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006275 | 0.0074 | 0.00666 | 0.007064 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.41 | 1.26 | 1.14 | 1.19 |
PulteGroup January 28, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of PulteGroup help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PulteGroup from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze PulteGroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0314 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0475 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2938.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Variance | 4.01 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0375 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.97 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.19) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.82) | |||
| Skewness | 1.4 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.96 |
PulteGroup January 28, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PulteGroup stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 60,554 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.15) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 125.16 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 124.53 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.19) |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in PulteGroup. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate. To learn how to invest in PulteGroup Stock, please use our How to Invest in PulteGroup guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PulteGroup. If investors know PulteGroup will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PulteGroup listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 0.88 | Earnings Share 12.96 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of PulteGroup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PulteGroup that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PulteGroup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PulteGroup's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PulteGroup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PulteGroup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PulteGroup's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PulteGroup is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PulteGroup's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.