PulteGroup Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| PHM Stock | USD 141.63 0.93 0.65% |
PulteGroup Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although PulteGroup's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PulteGroup's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PulteGroup fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of PulteGroup's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.0212 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.1499 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.2439 | Wall Street Target Price 140.9231 |
Using PulteGroup hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PulteGroup from the perspective of PulteGroup response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PulteGroup using PulteGroup's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PulteGroup using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PulteGroup's stock price.
PulteGroup Short Interest
An investor who is long PulteGroup may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PulteGroup and may potentially protect profits, hedge PulteGroup with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 119.8131 | Short Percent 0.0497 | Short Ratio 3.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.6 M | 50 Day MA 126.7738 |
PulteGroup Relative Strength Index
PulteGroup Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PulteGroup's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PulteGroup. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PulteGroup can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PulteGroup. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PulteGroup's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PulteGroup.
PulteGroup Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
PulteGroup's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PulteGroup stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PulteGroup's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PulteGroup stock will not fluctuate a lot when PulteGroup's options are near their expiration.
PulteGroup after-hype prediction price | USD 141.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PulteGroup contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PulteGroup will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0231% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With PulteGroup trading at USD 141.63, that is roughly USD 0.0328 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PulteGroup's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PulteGroup options at the current volatility level of 0.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 PulteGroup Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PulteGroup's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PulteGroup's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PulteGroup stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PulteGroup's open interest, investors have to compare it to PulteGroup's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PulteGroup is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PulteGroup. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PulteGroup Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PulteGroup price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PulteGroup using various technical indicators. When you analyze PulteGroup charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 58753.18 | 58753.18 |
| Check PulteGroup Volatility | Backtest PulteGroup | Information Ratio |
PulteGroup Trading Date Momentum
| On February 17 2026 PulteGroup was traded for 141.63 at the closing time. Highest PulteGroup's price during the trading hours was 144.50 and the lowest price during the day was 139.03 . The net volume was 1.6 M. The overall trading history on the 17th of February 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.66% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare PulteGroup to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for PulteGroup
For every potential investor in PulteGroup, whether a beginner or expert, PulteGroup's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PulteGroup Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PulteGroup. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PulteGroup's price trends.PulteGroup Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PulteGroup stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PulteGroup could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PulteGroup by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PulteGroup Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PulteGroup stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PulteGroup shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PulteGroup stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PulteGroup entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 58753.18 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.17) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 141.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 141.72 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.60) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.93) |
PulteGroup Risk Indicators
The analysis of PulteGroup's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PulteGroup's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pultegroup stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.18 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PulteGroup
The number of cover stories for PulteGroup depends on current market conditions and PulteGroup's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PulteGroup is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PulteGroup's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PulteGroup Short Properties
PulteGroup's future price predictability will typically decrease when PulteGroup's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PulteGroup often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PulteGroup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PulteGroup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 199.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PulteGroup to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in PulteGroup Stock, please use our How to Invest in PulteGroup guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Will Household Durables sector continue expanding? Could PulteGroup diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PulteGroup. Anticipated expansion of PulteGroup directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every PulteGroup data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 11.12 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of PulteGroup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PulteGroup that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PulteGroup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PulteGroup's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because PulteGroup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PulteGroup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between PulteGroup's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PulteGroup should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, PulteGroup's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.