Douglas Dynamics Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PLOW Stock  USD 25.66  0.11  0.43%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Douglas Dynamics is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Douglas Dynamics given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Douglas Dynamics, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Douglas Dynamics Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Douglas Stock please use our How to Invest in Douglas Dynamics guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Douglas and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Douglas Dynamics. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Douglas Dynamics Buy or Sell Advice

The Douglas recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Douglas Dynamics. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Douglas Dynamics or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Douglas Dynamics' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Douglas DynamicsBuy Douglas Dynamics
Strong Buy

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Douglas Dynamics has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0263, Jensen Alpha of 0.0309, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0294, Sortino Ratio of 0.0198 and Treynor Ratio of 0.05
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Douglas Dynamics. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Douglas Dynamics is not overpriced, please confirm all Douglas Dynamics fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Douglas Dynamics has a price to earning of 26.00 X, we urge you to verify Douglas Dynamics market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Douglas Dynamics Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 31st of December 2024 Douglas Dynamics paid $ 0.295 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Douglas Dynamics Is Skyrocketing So Far In 2025

Douglas Dynamics Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Douglas Dynamics' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Douglas Dynamics' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Douglas Dynamics daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Douglas Dynamics price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Douglas Dynamics returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Douglas Dynamics.
Mean Return
0.04
Value At Risk
-2.91
Potential Upside
2.36
Standard Deviation
1.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Douglas Dynamics historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Douglas Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Douglas Dynamics, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Douglas Dynamics back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Ararat Capital Management, Lp2024-09-30
573.9 K
State Street Corp2024-09-30
534.4 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
516.5 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-09-30
453.5 K
Harbor Capital Advisors Inc2024-12-31
356 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-12-31
296.9 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-09-30
279.6 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
271.9 K
Proshare Advisors Llc2024-09-30
265.6 K
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-12-31
2.4 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-09-30
2.2 M
Note, although Douglas Dynamics' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Douglas Dynamics Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.8M)(24.3M)(32.5M)(3.9M)(3.5M)(3.7M)
Change In Cash5.4M(4.1M)(16.3M)3.5M3.1M3.3M
Free Cash Flow38.9M49.3M28.0M1.9M2.2M2.1M
Depreciation19.7M20.3M20.9M21.7M24.9M16.0M
Other Non Cash Items131.4M7.5M(532K)5.3M6.1M11.5M
Capital Expenditures14.5M11.2M12.0M10.5M12.1M8.1M
Net Income(86.6M)30.7M38.6M23.7M27.3M21.8M
End Period Cash Flow41.0M37.0M20.7M24.2M21.7M26.6M
Dividends Paid25.9M26.5M27.0M27.4M31.6M24.4M
Change Receivables(7.7M)3.0M12.1M(14.3M)(12.8M)(12.2M)
Net Borrowings(32.7M)(7.5M)(25.5M)(11.3M)(10.1M)(9.6M)
Change To Netincome2.1M110.2M14.0M1.4M1.6M1.5M
Investments(14.5M)(11.2M)(12.0M)(10.8M)(12.5M)(13.1M)

Douglas Dynamics Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Douglas Dynamics or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Douglas Dynamics' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Douglas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Douglas Dynamics Volatility Alert

Douglas Dynamics has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.49 and kurtosis of 0.49. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Douglas Dynamics' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Douglas Dynamics' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Douglas Dynamics Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Douglas Dynamics' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Douglas Dynamics' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Douglas Dynamics and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Douglas Dynamics or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Douglas Dynamics' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Douglas Dynamics by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Douglas Dynamics to competition
FundamentalsDouglas DynamicsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.0442-0.14
Profit Margin0.1 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.03 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation871.79 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding23.09 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.90 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions93.32 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted451.34 K4.71 M
Price To Earning26.00 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.27 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.06 X11.42 X
Revenue568.18 M9.43 B
Gross Profit140.6 M27.38 B
EBITDA66.57 M3.9 B
Net Income23.72 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.04 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.26 X5.01 X
Total Debt256.7 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.31 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.10 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.29 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations12.47 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.69 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.33 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.12 X4.89 X
Target Price32.33
Number Of Employees1.89 K18.84 K
Beta1.23-0.15
Market Capitalization592.59 M19.03 B
Total Asset593.42 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings59.75 M9.33 B
Working Capital143.72 M1.48 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Douglas Dynamics Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Douglas . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Douglas Dynamics Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Douglas Dynamics? Buying financial instruments such as Douglas Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Douglas Dynamics in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Wireless
Wireless Theme
Companies providing wireless technology and communication services. The Wireless theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wireless Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Douglas Stock Analysis

When running Douglas Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure Douglas Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Douglas Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of Douglas Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Douglas Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Douglas Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Douglas Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.