Douglas Dynamics Valuation

PLOW Stock  USD 25.88  0.17  0.65%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Douglas Dynamics shows a prevailing Real Value of $28.81 per share. The current price of the firm is $25.88. Our model computes the value of Douglas Dynamics from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 880.8 M, shares outstanding of 23.09 M, and Profit Margin of 0.1 % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Douglas Dynamics' valuation include:
Price Book
2.3071
Enterprise Value
880.8 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
8.1394
Price Sales
1.0758
Forward PE
15.873
Undervalued
Today
25.88
Please note that Douglas Dynamics' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Douglas Dynamics is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Douglas Dynamics' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Douglas stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Douglas Dynamics. Since Douglas Dynamics is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Douglas Stock. However, Douglas Dynamics' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  25.88 Real  28.81 Target  32.33 Hype  26.23 Naive  27.04
The intrinsic value of Douglas Dynamics' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Douglas Dynamics' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
28.81
Real Value
30.62
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Douglas Dynamics helps investors to forecast how Douglas stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Douglas Dynamics more accurately as focusing exclusively on Douglas Dynamics' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.310.310.36
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4226.2328.04
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.740.790.83
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
29.4232.3335.89
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Douglas Dynamics' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Douglas Dynamics' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Douglas Dynamics' closest peers.

Douglas Dynamics Cash

26.57 Million

Douglas Valuation Trend

Analysing the historical paterns of Douglas Dynamics' enterprise value and its market capitalization is a good way to estimate and gauge the value of Douglas Dynamics over time and is usually enough for investors to make rational market timing decisions.

Douglas Revenue by Product

Douglas Dynamics Total Value Analysis

Douglas Dynamics is at this time estimated to have valuation of 880.8 M with market capitalization of 601.6 M, debt of 256.7 M, and cash on hands of 6.04 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Douglas Dynamics fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
880.8 M
601.6 M
256.7 M
6.04 M

Douglas Dynamics Investor Information

About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Douglas Dynamics was at this time reported as 11.29. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Douglas Dynamics last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2024. The entity had 23:1 split on the 7th of May 2010. Based on the key indicators related to Douglas Dynamics' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Douglas Dynamics may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.170.0909
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities13.6 M14.3 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Income55 M51.6 M
Notably Up
Slightly volatile

Douglas Dynamics Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Douglas Dynamics has an asset utilization ratio of 95.75 percent. This indicates that the Company is making $0.96 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Douglas Dynamics is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Douglas Dynamics Ownership Allocation

Douglas Dynamics holds a total of 23.09 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Douglas Dynamics outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Douglas Dynamics to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Douglas Dynamics. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Douglas Dynamics as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Douglas Dynamics Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 568.18 M. Net Income was 23.72 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 140.6 M.

Douglas Dynamics Past Distributions to stockholders

About Douglas Dynamics Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Douglas Dynamics. We calculate exposure to Douglas Dynamics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Douglas Dynamics's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit154.4 M117.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.06  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.17 
Net Profit Margin 0.05  0.06 
Gross Profit Margin 0.27  0.34 

Douglas Dynamics Quarterly Retained Earnings

87.47 Million

Douglas Dynamics' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Douglas Dynamics' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Douglas Dynamics can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Douglas Dynamics represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Douglas, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Douglas Dynamics Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividends Paid is likely to climb to about (23.5 M) in 2025. Dividend Yield is likely to drop to 0.04 in 2025. At this time, Douglas Dynamics' Retained Earnings are fairly stable compared to the past year. Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to climb to about 75.6 M in 2025, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop 14.99 in 2025.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-24.7 M-23.5 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.04 
Dividend Payout Ratio 1.33  1.29 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.38  0.36 
There are various types of dividends Douglas Dynamics can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Douglas shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Douglas Dynamics directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Douglas pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Douglas Dynamics by the value of the dividends paid out.

Douglas Dynamics Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Douglas Dynamics does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y4.674
Forward Price Earnings15.873

Douglas Dynamics Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Douglas Dynamics and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Douglas we look at many different elements of the entity such as Douglas's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Douglas Dynamics, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Douglas Dynamics' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Douglas Dynamics' worth.

Additional Tools for Douglas Stock Analysis

When running Douglas Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure Douglas Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Douglas Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of Douglas Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Douglas Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Douglas Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Douglas Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.