Douglas Dynamics Stock Technical Analysis
| PLOW Stock | USD 42.46 0.21 0.50% |
As of the 17th of February 2026, Douglas Dynamics shows the Mean Deviation of 1.15, coefficient of variation of 301.26, and Downside Deviation of 1.07. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check existing technical drivers of Douglas Dynamics, as well as the relationship between them. Please confirm Douglas Dynamics jensen alpha and semi variance to decide if Douglas Dynamics is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 42.46 per share. Given that Douglas Dynamics has jensen alpha of 0.4083, we urge you to verify Douglas Dynamics's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Douglas Dynamics Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Douglas, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to DouglasDouglas Dynamics' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Douglas Dynamics Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 38.75 | Buy | 2 | Odds |
Most Douglas analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Douglas stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Douglas Dynamics, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Douglas conference calls.
What growth prospects exist in Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sector? Can Douglas capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Douglas Dynamics. Anticipated expansion of Douglas directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Douglas Dynamics valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.76) | Dividend Share 1.175 | Earnings Share 1.74 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.253 |
Investors evaluate Douglas Dynamics using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Douglas Dynamics' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Douglas Dynamics' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Douglas Dynamics' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Douglas Dynamics should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Douglas Dynamics' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Douglas Dynamics 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Douglas Dynamics' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Douglas Dynamics.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Douglas Dynamics on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Douglas Dynamics or generate 0.0% return on investment in Douglas Dynamics over 90 days. Douglas Dynamics is related to or competes with Standard, Cars, Build A, Carriage Services, Beazer Homes, Myers Industries, and Miller Industries. Douglas Dynamics, Inc. operates as a manufacturer and upfitter of commercial work truck attachments and equipment in Nor... More
Douglas Dynamics Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Douglas Dynamics' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Douglas Dynamics upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.284 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.87 |
Douglas Dynamics Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Douglas Dynamics' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Douglas Dynamics' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Douglas Dynamics historical prices to predict the future Douglas Dynamics' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2723 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4083 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3661 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.386 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4295 |
Douglas Dynamics February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2723 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4395 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6335 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 301.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Variance | 2.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.284 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4083 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3661 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.386 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4295 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4013 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5145 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5916 |
Douglas Dynamics Backtested Returns
Douglas Dynamics appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Douglas Dynamics secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.43, which denotes the company had a 0.43 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By reviewing Douglas Dynamics' technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.61% is justified by implied risk. Please utilize Douglas Dynamics' Mean Deviation of 1.15, downside deviation of 1.07, and Coefficient Of Variation of 301.26 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Douglas Dynamics holds a performance score of 34. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.1, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Douglas Dynamics returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Douglas Dynamics is expected to follow. Please check Douglas Dynamics' sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the Semi Variance and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Douglas Dynamics' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.72 |
Good predictability
Douglas Dynamics has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Douglas Dynamics time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Douglas Dynamics price movement. The serial correlation of 0.72 indicates that around 72.0% of current Douglas Dynamics price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.72 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.72 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 5.42 |
Douglas Dynamics technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Douglas Dynamics Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Douglas Dynamics volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Douglas Dynamics Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Douglas Dynamics on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Douglas Dynamics based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Douglas Dynamics price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Douglas Dynamics. By analyzing Douglas Dynamics's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Douglas Dynamics's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Douglas Dynamics specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0403 | 0.0504 | 0.058 | 0.043 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.2 | 0.96 | 0.86 | 1.22 |
Douglas Dynamics February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Douglas help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Douglas from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Douglas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2723 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4395 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6335 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 301.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Variance | 2.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.284 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4083 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.3661 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.386 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4295 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.23 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.33) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.87 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4013 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.48) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5145 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.5916 |
Douglas Dynamics February 17, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Douglas stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4,056 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.19 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 42.14 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 42.25 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.43 |
Additional Tools for Douglas Stock Analysis
When running Douglas Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure Douglas Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Douglas Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of Douglas Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Douglas Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Douglas Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Douglas Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.