Safety Insurance (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SFN Stock  EUR 78.00  0.50  0.64%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Safety Insurance Group is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Safety Insurance buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SFN positions.
  
Check out Safety Insurance Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Safety and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Safety Insurance Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Safety Insurance Buy or Sell Advice

The Safety recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Safety Insurance Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Safety Insurance Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Safety Insurance's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Safety InsuranceBuy Safety Insurance
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Safety Insurance Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0728, Jensen Alpha of 0.0826, Total Risk Alpha of (0.07), Sortino Ratio of 0.0137 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3334
Macroaxis provides unbiased trade recommendation on Safety Insurance that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Safety Insurance Group. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Safety Insurance is not overpriced, please validate all Safety Insurance fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to sales, net income, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and gross profit .

Safety Insurance Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Safety Insurance Group has accumulated 35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Safety Insurance has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Safety Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Safety Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Safety Insurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Safety to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Safety Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 84.0% of Safety Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors

Safety Insurance Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Safety Insurance's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Safety Insurance's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Safety Insurance daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Safety Insurance Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Safety Insurance returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Safety Insurance.
Mean Return
0.13
Value At Risk
-2.03
Potential Upside
3.18
Standard Deviation
1.43
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Safety Insurance historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Safety Insurance Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Safety Insurance or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Safety Insurance's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Safety stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
1.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Safety Insurance Volatility Alert

Safety Insurance Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.93 and kurtosis of 1.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Safety Insurance's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Safety Insurance's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Safety Insurance Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Safety Insurance's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Safety Insurance's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Safety Insurance and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Safety Insurance or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Safety Insurance's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Safety Insurance by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Safety Insurance to competition
FundamentalsSafety InsurancePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0535-0.31
Return On Asset0.0184-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.24 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.8 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.05 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.91 %39.21 %
Price To Earning13.14 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.62 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.44 X11.42 X
Revenue785.06 M9.43 B
Gross Profit60.44 M27.38 B
EBITDA66.76 M3.9 B
Net Income46.56 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents37.97 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt35 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity4.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.38 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share54.88 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations141.39 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share2.97 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees518.84 K
Beta0.31-0.15
Market Capitalization1.12 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.97 B29.47 B
Z Score18.68.72
Annual Yield0.05 %
Net Asset1.97 B
Last Dividend Paid3.6

Safety Insurance Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Safety . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Safety Insurance Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Safety Insurance Group? Buying financial instruments such as Safety Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Safety Stock

When determining whether Safety Insurance is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Safety Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Safety Insurance Group Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Safety Insurance Group Stock:
Check out Safety Insurance Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Safety Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Safety Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Safety Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.