Safety Insurance (Germany) Price Patterns

SFN Stock  EUR 67.50  2.50  3.57%   
As of 8th of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of Safety Insurance's share price is approaching 45. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Safety Insurance, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 45

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Safety Insurance's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Safety Insurance and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Safety Insurance's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Safety Insurance Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Safety Insurance's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.104
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.15
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.106
Using Safety Insurance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Safety Insurance Group from the perspective of Safety Insurance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Safety Insurance to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Safety because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Safety Insurance after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 67.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Safety Insurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.6256.1274.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69.3470.8372.33
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.151.151.15
Details

Safety Insurance After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Safety Insurance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Safety Insurance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Safety Insurance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Safety Insurance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Safety Insurance's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Safety Insurance's historical news coverage. Safety Insurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.00 and 69.00, respectively. We have considered Safety Insurance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
67.50
67.50
After-hype Price
69.00
Upside
Safety Insurance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Safety Insurance is based on 3 months time horizon.

Safety Insurance Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Safety Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Safety Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Safety Insurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.56
 0.00  
  0.01 
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
67.50
67.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Safety Insurance Hype Timeline

Safety Insurance is at this time traded for 67.50on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Safety is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Safety Insurance is about 1888.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 67.49. About 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.32. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Safety Insurance last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Safety Insurance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Safety Insurance Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Safety Insurance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Safety Insurance's future price movements. Getting to know how Safety Insurance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Safety Insurance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
8IIPLAYTIKA HOLDING DL 01(0.06)2 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.60 (4.21) 17.17 
BE4ABeazer Homes USA(0.60)7 per month 2.52  0.02  6.04 (3.43) 14.40 
45PPLAYMATES TOYS(0)4 per month 0.00 (0.05) 8.16 (9.09) 65.61 
LG1LGI Homes 0.00 8 per month 2.60  0.13  9.57 (4.76) 18.70 
9JDJD SPORTS FASH(0.01)1 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.49 (4.95) 11.50 
GOKAOffice Properties Income 0.00 8 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
UWVWT OFFSHORE 0.01 3 per month 3.17  0  6.29 (4.96) 18.36 
E1VEIDESVIK OFFSHORE NK 0.00 0 per month 2.87  0.02  7.34 (6.84) 18.50 

Safety Insurance Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Safety price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Safety using various technical indicators. When you analyze Safety charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Safety Insurance Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Safety Insurance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Safety Insurance Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Safety Insurance based on analysis of Safety Insurance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Safety Insurance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Safety Insurance's related companies.

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Complementary Tools for Safety Stock analysis

When running Safety Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Safety Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safety Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Safety Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safety Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safety Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safety Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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