Safety Insurance (Germany) Performance

SFN Stock  EUR 64.00  0.50  0.78%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Safety Insurance holds a performance score of 11. The entity has a beta of -0.26, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Safety Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Safety Insurance is likely to outperform the market. Please check Safety Insurance's standard deviation, treynor ratio, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Safety Insurance's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Safety Insurance Group are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly uncertain basic indicators, Safety Insurance reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Safety Insurance Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,681  in Safety Insurance Group on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  719.00  from holding Safety Insurance Group or generate 12.66% return on investment over 90 days. Safety Insurance Group is currently producing 0.2118% returns and takes up 1.4062% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 12% of traded stocks are less volatile than Safety, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Safety Insurance is expected to generate 1.88 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.88 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Safety Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Safety Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 64.00 90 days 64.00 
about 42.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safety Insurance to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 42.18 (This Safety Insurance Group probability density function shows the probability of Safety Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Safety Insurance Group has a beta of -0.26. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Safety Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Safety Insurance Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Safety Insurance Group has an alpha of 0.1242, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Safety Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Safety Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safety Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.6164.0065.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.6052.9970.40
Details

Safety Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safety Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safety Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safety Insurance Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safety Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
2.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Safety Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safety Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safety Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safety Insurance Group has accumulated 35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Safety Insurance has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Safety Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Safety Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Safety Insurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Safety to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Safety Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 84.0% of Safety Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors

Safety Insurance Fundamentals Growth

Safety Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Safety Insurance, and Safety Insurance fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Safety Stock performance.

About Safety Insurance Performance

By analyzing Safety Insurance's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Safety Insurance's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Safety Insurance has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Safety Insurance has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Safety Insurance Group, Inc. provides private passenger and commercial automobile insurance in Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Maine, the United States. Safety Insurance Group, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is based in Boston, Massachusetts. SAFETY INSURANCE operates under Insurance - Property Casualty classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 627 people.

Things to note about Safety Insurance performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Safety Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Safety Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safety Insurance Group has accumulated 35 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Safety Insurance has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Safety Insurance until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Safety Insurance's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Safety Insurance sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Safety to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Safety Insurance's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 84.0% of Safety Insurance shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Safety Insurance's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Safety Insurance's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Safety Insurance's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Safety Insurance's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Safety Insurance's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Safety Insurance's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Safety Insurance's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Safety Insurance's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Safety Insurance's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Safety Insurance's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Safety Insurance's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Safety Stock analysis

When running Safety Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Safety Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Safety Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Safety Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Safety Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Safety Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Safety Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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