Target Hospitality Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TH Stock  USD 8.42  0.29  3.33%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Target Hospitality Corp is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Target Hospitality's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Target Hospitality Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Target and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Target Hospitality Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Target Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice

The Target recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Target Hospitality Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Target Hospitality Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Target Hospitality's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Target HospitalityBuy Target Hospitality
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Target Hospitality Corp has a Mean Deviation of 1.91, Standard Deviation of 3.38 and Variance of 11.45
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Target Hospitality. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Target Hospitality Corp is not overpriced, please validate all Target Hospitality fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, net asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that Target Hospitality Corp has a number of shares shorted of 1.66 M, we advise you to double-check Target Hospitality Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Target Hospitality Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Target Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Target Hospitality has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Target Hospitality has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Target Hospitality Releases Investor Presentation Insights - TipRanks

Target Hospitality Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Target Hospitality's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Target Hospitality's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Target Hospitality daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Target Hospitality Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Target Hospitality returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Target Hospitality.
Mean Return
-0.16
Value At Risk
-3.33
Potential Upside
5.19
Standard Deviation
3.38
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Target Hospitality historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Target Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
554.5 K
Lb Partners Llc2024-09-30
536.4 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
344.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
320.9 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
271.6 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
269.5 K
Captrust Financial Advisors2024-06-30
252.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
196.2 K
Nordea Investment Mgmt Bank Demark A/s2024-09-30
193.3 K
Private Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
5.1 M
Conversant Capital Llc2024-06-30
4.5 M
Note, although Target Hospitality's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Target Hospitality Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(112.7M)(10.9M)(35.9M)(140.2M)(68.2M)(71.6M)
Change In Cash(5.6M)140K16.4M158.3M(77.7M)(73.9M)
Net Borrowings390.1M(30.1M)(52.2M)(6.5M)(7.5M)(7.1M)
Free Cash Flow(24.2M)34.6M69.1M185.3M88.4M50.0M
Depreciation58.9M65.6M70.5M67.7M84.0M62.9M
Other Non Cash Items14.5M7.3M7.9M48.4M15.5M10.6M
Capital Expenditures84.7M12.2M35.5M120.3M68.4M58.0M
Net Income6.2M(27.5M)(4.6M)73.9M173.7M182.4M
End Period Cash Flow6.8M7.0M23.4M181.7M103.9M109.1M
Change To Netincome18.4M(4.3M)8.6M81.2M93.3M98.0M
Change To Inventory16.8M(1.0M)(9.9M)10.4M9.4M9.8M

Target Hospitality Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Target Hospitality or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Target Hospitality's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Target stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.38
σ
Overall volatility
3.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Target Hospitality Volatility Alert

Target Hospitality Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.76 and kurtosis of 16.28. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Target Hospitality's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Target Hospitality's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Target Hospitality Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Target Hospitality's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Target Hospitality's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Target Hospitality and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Target Hospitality or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Target Hospitality's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Target Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Target Hospitality to competition
FundamentalsTarget HospitalityPeer Average
Return On Equity0.26-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.29 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation851.66 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding98.94 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.21 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions92.30 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.66 M4.71 M
Price To Earning28.06 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.06 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.94 X11.42 X
Revenue563.61 M9.43 B
Gross Profit299.96 M27.38 B
EBITDA337.08 M3.9 B
Net Income173.7 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents9.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt200.83 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.85 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.67 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.16 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations156.8 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.10 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.87 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.19 X4.89 X
Target Price10.5
Number Of Employees98418.84 K
Beta2.1-0.15
Market Capitalization833.08 M19.03 B
Total Asset694.35 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings261.12 M9.33 B
Working Capital110.17 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 371 shares by Jason Vlacich of Target Hospitality at 4.51 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Target Hospitality Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Target . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Target Hospitality Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Target Hospitality Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Target Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Check out Target Hospitality Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Target Hospitality. If investors know Target will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Target Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.54)
Earnings Share
0.87
Revenue Per Share
4.256
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.35)
Return On Assets
0.1237
The market value of Target Hospitality Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Target that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Target Hospitality's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Target Hospitality's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Target Hospitality's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Target Hospitality's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Target Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Target Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Target Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.