Target Hospitality Corp Stock Performance

TH Stock  USD 6.76  0.18  2.59%   
The entity has a beta of 1.07, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Target Hospitality returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Target Hospitality is expected to follow. At this point, Target Hospitality Corp has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to validate Target Hospitality's maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and market facilitation index , to decide if Target Hospitality Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Target Hospitality Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's technical indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow103.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-28.8 M

Target Hospitality Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  778.00  in Target Hospitality Corp on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (102.00) from holding Target Hospitality Corp or give up 13.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. Target Hospitality Corp is generating negative expected returns and assumes 3.0625% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Put differently, 27% of stocks are less risky than Target on the basis of their historical return distribution, and some 99% of all equities are expected to be superior in generating returns on investments over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Target Hospitality is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Target Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Target Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.76 90 days 6.76 
about 89.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Target Hospitality to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 89.69 (This Target Hospitality Corp probability density function shows the probability of Target Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This usually implies Target Hospitality Corp market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Target Hospitality is expected to follow. Additionally Target Hospitality Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Target Hospitality Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Target Hospitality

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Target Hospitality Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.726.769.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.087.1210.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.226.279.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.837.828.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Target Hospitality. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Target Hospitality's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Target Hospitality's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Target Hospitality Corp.

Target Hospitality Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Target Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Target Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Target Hospitality Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Target Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Target Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Target Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Target Hospitality Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Target Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Target Hospitality has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Target Hospitality Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Target Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Target Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Target Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments190.7 M

Target Hospitality Fundamentals Growth

Target Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Target Hospitality, and Target Hospitality fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Target Stock performance.

About Target Hospitality Performance

By evaluating Target Hospitality's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Target Hospitality's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Target Hospitality has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Target Hospitality has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Target Hospitality Corp. operates as a specialty rental and hospitality services company in North America. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas. Target Hospitality operates under Specialty Business Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 823 people.

Things to note about Target Hospitality Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Target Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Target Hospitality Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Target Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Target Hospitality has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Target Hospitality's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Target Hospitality's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Target Hospitality's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Target Hospitality's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Target Hospitality's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Target Hospitality's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Target Hospitality's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Target Hospitality's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Target Hospitality's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Target Hospitality's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Target Hospitality's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Target Stock analysis

When running Target Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Target Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Target Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Target Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Target Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Target Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Target Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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