Valvoline Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VVV Stock | USD 38.56 0.08 0.21% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Valvoline is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Valvoline given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Valvoline. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Valvoline, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Valvoline Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Valvoline Stock please use our How to Invest in Valvoline guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Valvoline and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Valvoline. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
Valvoline |
Execute Valvoline Buy or Sell Advice
The Valvoline recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valvoline. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valvoline or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valvoline's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Valvoline Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Valvoline generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Valvoline has about 409.1 M in cash with (40.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.55. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Robert W. Baird Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Valvoline Stock Price |
Valvoline Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Valvoline's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valvoline's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valvoline daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valvoline price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valvoline returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valvoline.
| Mean Return | -0.1 | Value At Risk | -2.45 | Potential Upside | 1.75 | Standard Deviation | 1.65 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valvoline historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Valvoline Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Valvoline, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valvoline back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 3 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 2.6 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 2.2 M | Oz Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.9 M | Tensile Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.9 M | Newport Trust Co. | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | Junto Capital Management Lp | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 12.8 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 12.3 M |
Valvoline Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (1M) | (53M) | (5.4M) | (3.3M) | (3.0M) | (3.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 221M | 260M | 152.2M | (221.3M) | (199.2M) | (189.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 66M | 92M | 71.4M | 88.8M | 102.1M | 62.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (19M) | (37M) | 197.9M | (423.5M) | (381.2M) | (362.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 151M | 144M | 132M | 180.5M | 207.6M | 106.5M | |
| Net Income | 317M | 420M | 109.4M | 199.4M | 229.3M | 261.2M | |
| Change In Cash | 602M | (530M) | (147.5M) | 329.2M | 296.3M | 311.1M | |
| Net Borrowings | 629M | (274M) | (15.1M) | 3.1M | 2.8M | 2.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 84M | 91M | 89.2M | 21.8M | 25.1M | 23.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 66M | 25M | (84.6M) | (1.6B) | (1.4B) | (1.4B) | |
| Investments | (31M) | (400M) | (207.6M) | 2.0B | 2.4B | 2.5B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 761M | 231M | 83.9M | 413.1M | 475.1M | 291.1M |
Valvoline Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valvoline or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valvoline's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valvoline stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Valvoline Volatility Alert
Valvoline exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.94 and kurtosis of 10.78. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valvoline's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valvoline's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Valvoline Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Valvoline's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valvoline's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valvoline and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valvoline or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valvoline's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valvoline by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Valvoline to competition |
| Fundamentals | Valvoline | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 1.02 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0769 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.26 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 6.27 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 128.87 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.61 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.39 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 6.94 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 18.10 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 26.77 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.16 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.44 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 544.5 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 363.6 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 199.4 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 409.1 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.55 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.83 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 8.80 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.64 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.83 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (40.8 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.67 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.63 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.10 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 43.75 | |
| Number Of Employees | 9.6 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.46 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.97 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.89 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 140.7 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 574.4 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 494 shares by Dione Sturgeon of Valvoline subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Valvoline Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valvoline . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Valvoline Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Valvoline? Buying financial instruments such as Valvoline Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Valvoline Stock Analysis
When running Valvoline's price analysis, check to measure Valvoline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valvoline is operating at the current time. Most of Valvoline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valvoline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valvoline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valvoline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.