Valvoline Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| VVV Stock | USD 37.53 0.77 2.09% |
Valvoline Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Valvoline's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.403 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3452 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6962 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9956 | Wall Street Target Price 41.2667 |
Using Valvoline hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Valvoline from the perspective of Valvoline response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Valvoline using Valvoline's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Valvoline using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Valvoline's stock price.
Valvoline Short Interest
An investor who is long Valvoline may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Valvoline and may potentially protect profits, hedge Valvoline with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 34.8338 | Short Percent 0.1193 | Short Ratio 6.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.2 M | 50 Day MA 31.3 |
Valvoline Relative Strength Index
Valvoline Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Valvoline's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Valvoline. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Valvoline can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Valvoline. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Valvoline's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Valvoline.
Valvoline Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
Valvoline's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Valvoline stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Valvoline's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Valvoline stock will not fluctuate a lot when Valvoline's options are near their expiration.
Valvoline after-hype prediction price | USD 37.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Valvoline contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Valvoline will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0438% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Valvoline trading at USD 37.53, that is roughly USD 0.0164 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Valvoline's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Valvoline options at the current volatility level of 0.7%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Valvoline Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Valvoline's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Valvoline's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Valvoline stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Valvoline's open interest, investors have to compare it to Valvoline's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Valvoline is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Valvoline. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Valvoline Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Valvoline price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Valvoline using various technical indicators. When you analyze Valvoline charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 84748.99 | 0.0257 |
| Check Valvoline Volatility | Backtest Valvoline | Information Ratio |
Valvoline Trading Date Momentum
| On February 08 2026 Valvoline was traded for 37.53 at the closing time. Highest Valvoline's price during the trading hours was 37.72 and the lowest price during the day was 36.75 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 8th of February did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 2.08% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Valvoline to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Valvoline
For every potential investor in Valvoline, whether a beginner or expert, Valvoline's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Valvoline Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Valvoline. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Valvoline's price trends.Valvoline Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Valvoline stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Valvoline could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valvoline by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Valvoline Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Valvoline stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Valvoline shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Valvoline stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Valvoline entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Valvoline Risk Indicators
The analysis of Valvoline's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Valvoline's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting valvoline stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Variance | 4.03 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.81) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Valvoline
The number of cover stories for Valvoline depends on current market conditions and Valvoline's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Valvoline is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Valvoline's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Valvoline Short Properties
Valvoline's future price predictability will typically decrease when Valvoline's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Valvoline often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Valvoline's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Valvoline's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.6 M |
Additional Tools for Valvoline Stock Analysis
When running Valvoline's price analysis, check to measure Valvoline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valvoline is operating at the current time. Most of Valvoline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valvoline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valvoline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valvoline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.