Valvoline Stock Performance

VVV Stock  USD 37.80  0.10  0.27%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Valvoline holds a performance score of 15. The entity has a beta of 0.98, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Valvoline returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Valvoline is expected to follow. Please check Valvoline's sortino ratio, semi variance, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Valvoline's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Valvoline are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly uncertain basic indicators, Valvoline showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.27
Five Day Return
(1.59)
Year To Date Return
30.93
Ten Year Return
63.64
All Time Return
63.64
Dividend Date
2022-12-15
Ex Dividend Date
2022-12-01
1
Valvoline CEO Interest in electric vehicles has dropped off since Trump removed subsidies
12/11/2025
2
Acquisition by Lori Flees of tradable shares of Valvoline subject to Rule 16b-3
12/26/2025
3
Marathon Petroleum Soars 5.9 percent Is Further Upside Left in the Stock
01/06/2026
4
Acquisition by Wong Janet S. of 4300 shares of Valvoline subject to Rule 16b-3
01/29/2026
5
Valvoline Non-GAAP EPS of 0.37 beats by 0.04, revenue of 462M beats by 0.98M
02/04/2026
6
Valvoline Analysts Weekly Ratings Changes
02/05/2026
7
What Catalysts Are Rewriting The Valvoline Story For Analysts Now
02/06/2026
8
Ford CEO says customer has spoken after EV shift drives major quarterly loss
02/11/2026
9
LSV Asset Management Has 222.32 Million Stake in NewMarket Corporation NEU
02/12/2026
10
Valvoline Delivers 11 percent Revenue Growth Last Quarter as 11 Million Stake Becomes 6 percent Portfolio Bet
02/19/2026
11
Disposition of 15810 shares by Odaniel Julie Marie of Valvoline at 23.01 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow68.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-201.1 M

Valvoline Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,018  in Valvoline on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  762.00  from holding Valvoline or generate 25.25% return on investment over 90 days. Valvoline is generating 0.3881% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.9395% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Valvoline, and above 93% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Valvoline is expected to generate 2.56 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.56 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Valvoline Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Valvoline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 37.80 90 days 37.80 
about 6.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Valvoline to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.5 (This Valvoline probability density function shows the probability of Valvoline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Valvoline has a beta of 0.98. This entails Valvoline market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Valvoline is expected to follow. Additionally Valvoline has an alpha of 0.2223, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Valvoline Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Valvoline

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valvoline. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Valvoline's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.0938.0239.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.0241.9943.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.6736.5938.52
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.8641.6046.18
Details

Valvoline Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Valvoline is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Valvoline's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Valvoline, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Valvoline within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.98
σ
Overall volatility
3.25
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Valvoline Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Valvoline for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Valvoline can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Valvoline has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from fool.com: Valvoline Delivers 11 percent Revenue Growth Last Quarter as 11 Million Stake Becomes 6 percent Portfolio Bet

Valvoline Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Valvoline Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Valvoline's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Valvoline's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding128.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments51.6 M

Valvoline Fundamentals Growth

Valvoline Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Valvoline, and Valvoline fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Valvoline Stock performance.

About Valvoline Performance

Evaluating Valvoline's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Valvoline has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Valvoline has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 17.00  16.15 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.10  0.16 
Return On Capital Employed 0.19  0.24 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.13 
Return On Equity 0.56  0.33 

Things to note about Valvoline performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Valvoline for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Valvoline help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Valvoline has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from fool.com: Valvoline Delivers 11 percent Revenue Growth Last Quarter as 11 Million Stake Becomes 6 percent Portfolio Bet
Evaluating Valvoline's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Valvoline's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Valvoline's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Valvoline's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Valvoline's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Valvoline's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Valvoline's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Valvoline's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Valvoline's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Valvoline's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Valvoline's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Valvoline Stock Analysis

When running Valvoline's price analysis, check to measure Valvoline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valvoline is operating at the current time. Most of Valvoline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valvoline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valvoline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valvoline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.