Valvoline Stock Performance
| VVV Stock | USD 33.24 0.01 0.03% |
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
During the last 90 trading days, Valvoline produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. When applied, this score supports evaluation of raw price movement versus actual return efficiency. Valvoline is delivering weak return efficiency relative to its risk profile. Newest price sell-off suggests continued near-short-term downside pressure for market participants. Learn More
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 2.78 | Five Day Return -2.12 | Year To Date Return 14.35 | Ten Year Return 43.85 | All Time Return 43.85 |
Dividend Date 2022-12-15 | Ex Dividend Date 2022-12-01 |
1 | Acquisition by Wong Janet S. of 4300 shares of Valvoline subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 01/29/2026 |
2 | Alloy.ai and Liftlab Partnership Finally Ties Omni-Channel Media Spend to In-Store Sales | 02/12/2026 |
3 | Disposition of 15810 shares by Odaniel Julie Marie of Valvoline at 23.01 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 02/20/2026 |
4 | Why Venice Token Is Rallying While the Broader Crypto Market Falls | 03/02/2026 |
5 | Valvoline Premium Blue One Solution Gen 2 Sets New Benchmark for Engine Protection, Uptime and Operational Efficiency | 03/16/2026 |
6 | Valvolines Outperform Rating Reiterated at Royal Bank Of Canada | 03/30/2026 |
7 | Disposition of 1195 shares by Jordan Denny of Valvoline at 34.09 subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/01/2026 |
8 | Acquisition by Dione Sturgeon of 2140 shares of Valvoline subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 04/08/2026 |
9 | Clearbridge Mid Cap Strategys Views on Valvoline | 04/10/2026 |
10 | Valvoline Inc. Volunteers to Plant Trees and Support Habitat for Humanity Homes in Lexington, Kentucky for Earth Day | 04/13/2026 |
11 | Valvoline Global Celebrates and Protects Every Fans Road to the Game in New FIFA World Cup 2026 Campaign | 04/16/2026 |
12 | Automotive Lubricants Market to Cross 122 Billion by 2031, CAGR of 5.4 percent New Industry Research by The Insight Partners. | 04/22/2026 |
Performance Related Modules
Earnings links to analyst estimate history and revisions, Ownership shows shareholder mix, Profitability focuses on margin and return ratios, Liquidity covers cash-flow strength and short-term funding capacity, and Fundamentals groups the broader financial ratio set.
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 3,320 in Valvoline on January 27, 2026 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 4.00 from holding Valvoline or generated 0.12% return on investment over 90 days. Valvoline is generating a 0.0222% daily return assuming volatility of 2.043% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In relative terms, Valvoline exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 82% of comparable stocks, and VVV delivers lower expected returns than 99% of comparable equities over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for stocks like Valvoline Stock. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 33.24 | 90 days | 33.24 | about 79.08 |
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of Valvoline moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 79.08 . Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This Valvoline distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in Valvoline Stock over a 90-day period).
Valvoline Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Valvoline
Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast Valvoline within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by Valvoline predictions.Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Valvoline's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, Valvoline's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct.
Primary Risk Indicators
Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for Valvoline investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of Valvoline.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Tracking Valvoline through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing Valvoline notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes.| Valvoline has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Automotive Lubricants Market to Cross 122 Billion by 2031, CAGR of 5.4 percent New Industry Research by The Insight Partners. |
Price Density Drivers
Several forces contribute to Valvoline's price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring Valvoline's price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.6 M |
Valvoline Fundamentals Growth
Market participants price Valvoline Stock based on their assessment of Valvoline's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving Valvoline Stock.
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0492 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.0491 | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.0102 | ||||
| Current Valuation | 6.2 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 127.32 M | ||||
| Price To Earnings | 18.10 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 13.75 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.41 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.71 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 678.1 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 510.7 M | ||||
| Net Income | 210.7 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 51.6 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.55 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.67 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 8.80 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.64 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.42 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 297.2 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.69 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.23 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.67 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 273.6 M | ||||
| Working Capital | -103.7 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 730 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 400 M | ||||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
Valvoline risk-adjusted performance measures whether returns compensate for the volatility borne by holders. Adjusting for volatility reveals whether realized returns were earned efficiently or through excessive exposure. Valvoline shows ROE of 33.01%, ROA of 4.92% (TTM) vs 13.0% (last reported).
Valvoline metrics are compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and normalized before display. Analyst projections are included when active coverage applies. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.
Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Ellen Johnson, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board