Valvoline Stock Performance
| VVV Stock | USD 35.60 2.31 6.94% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Valvoline holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of 0.0081, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Valvoline's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Valvoline is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Valvoline's semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Valvoline's existing price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Valvoline are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly uncertain basic indicators, Valvoline showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.26 | Five Day Return 13.32 | Year To Date Return 27.33 | Ten Year Return 59.13 | All Time Return 59.13 |
Dividend Date 2022-12-15 | Ex Dividend Date 2022-12-01 |
1 | These Analysts Slash Their Forecasts On Valvoline Following Weak Earnings | 11/20/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 656 shares by Jonathan Caldwell of Valvoline subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/21/2025 |
3 | Acquisition by Odaniel Julie Marie of 3360 shares of Valvoline subject to Rule 16b-3 | 11/25/2025 |
4 | Valvolines Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit | 11/28/2025 |
5 | Valvoline Assessing Valuation After Analyst Optimism and the Breeze Autocare Acquisition | 12/22/2025 |
6 | Acquisition by Lori Flees of tradable shares of Valvoline subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/26/2025 |
7 | Valvoline Instant Oil Change Breaks Records as It Raises 1.8 Million for Childrens Miracle Network Hospitals | 01/07/2026 |
8 | Hard, like soccer Man kicked and punched 81-year-old man to death after the victim told him to stop yelling at his girlfriend, authorities say | 01/08/2026 |
9 | Valvoline Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Moves And Undervaluation Debate | 01/13/2026 |
10 | ICE Targets OC Businesses, Workers In Video Report | 01/20/2026 |
11 | Valvoline Instant Oil Change Earns 1 Automotive Services Retailer in Entrepreneurs Franchise 500 | 01/22/2026 |
12 | GM takes 7B hit after shifting EV strategy due to slowing demand | 01/27/2026 |
13 | Valvoline VVV Shares Bought by AlphaQuest LLC | 02/02/2026 |
14 | Valvoline Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Sales Growth Amidst Strategic Expansion | 02/04/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 68.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -201.1 M |
Valvoline | Build AI portfolio with Valvoline Stock |
Valvoline Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,137 in Valvoline on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 423.00 from holding Valvoline or generate 13.48% return on investment over 90 days. Valvoline is generating 0.2307% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.0105% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Valvoline, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Valvoline Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Valvoline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 35.60 | 90 days | 35.60 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Valvoline to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Valvoline probability density function shows the probability of Valvoline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Valvoline Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Valvoline
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Valvoline. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Valvoline's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Valvoline Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Valvoline is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Valvoline's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Valvoline, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Valvoline within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Valvoline Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Valvoline for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Valvoline can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Valvoline has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Valvoline Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Sales Growth Amidst Strategic Expansion |
Valvoline Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Valvoline Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Valvoline's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Valvoline's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.6 M |
Valvoline Fundamentals Growth
Valvoline Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Valvoline, and Valvoline fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Valvoline Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0363 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.26 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 5.55 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 127.24 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 18.10 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 12.51 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.58 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.71 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 678.1 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 485.7 M | ||||
| Net Income | 210.7 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 51.6 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.55 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.67 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 8.80 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.64 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.41 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 297.2 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.79 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.53 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.67 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 273.6 M | ||||
| Working Capital | (103.7 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 730 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 400 M | ||||
About Valvoline Performance
Evaluating Valvoline's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Valvoline has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Valvoline has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 17.00 | 16.15 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.10 | 0.16 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.15 | 0.24 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.13 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.56 | 0.33 |
Things to note about Valvoline performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Valvoline for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Valvoline help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Valvoline has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Valvoline Inc Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Sales Growth Amidst Strategic Expansion |
- Analyzing Valvoline's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Valvoline's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Valvoline's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Valvoline's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Valvoline's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Valvoline's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Valvoline's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Valvoline Stock Analysis
When running Valvoline's price analysis, check to measure Valvoline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valvoline is operating at the current time. Most of Valvoline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valvoline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valvoline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valvoline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.