Valvoline Stock Technical Analysis
| VVV Stock | USD 32.56 0.28 0.85% |
As of the 30th of January, Valvoline has the Variance of 3.58, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Coefficient Of Variation of (5,407). In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Valvoline, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Valvoline information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and kurtosis to decide if Valvoline is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 32.56 per share. Given that Valvoline has information ratio of (0.05), we advise you to double-check Valvoline's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Valvoline Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Valvoline, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ValvolineValvoline | Build AI portfolio with Valvoline Stock |
Valvoline Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 39.13 | Buy | 14 | Odds |
Most Valvoline analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Valvoline stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Valvoline, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Valvoline conference calls.
What growth prospects exist in Commodity Chemicals sector? Can Valvoline capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Valvoline. If investors know Valvoline will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Valvoline valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.403 | Earnings Share 1.67 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.281 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Valvoline requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Valvoline's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Valvoline's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Valvoline's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Valvoline's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Valvoline is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Valvoline's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.
Valvoline 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Valvoline's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Valvoline.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Valvoline on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Valvoline or generate 0.0% return on investment in Valvoline over 90 days. Valvoline is related to or competes with PBF Energy, Ultrapar Participacoes, Murphy Oil, CVR Energy, Valaris, Magnolia Oil, and California Resources. Valvoline Inc. manufactures, markets, and supplies, engine and automotive maintenance products and services More
Valvoline Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Valvoline's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Valvoline upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.27 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.38 |
Valvoline Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Valvoline's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Valvoline's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Valvoline historical prices to predict the future Valvoline's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.04) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Valvoline's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Valvoline January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (5,407) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Variance | 3.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.27 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.38 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1949 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0463 |
Valvoline Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Valvoline Stock to be very steady. Valvoline owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.036, which indicates the firm had a 0.036 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Valvoline, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Valvoline's Variance of 3.58, coefficient of variation of (5,407), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0666%. Valvoline has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.22, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Valvoline will likely underperform. Valvoline right now has a risk of 1.85%. Please validate Valvoline kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and rate of daily change , to decide if Valvoline will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
Valvoline has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Valvoline time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Valvoline price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Valvoline price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.42 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.74 |
Valvoline technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Valvoline Technical Analysis
Indicator |
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The True Range is a measure of Valvoline volatility developed by Welles Wilder.
About Valvoline Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Valvoline on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Valvoline based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Valvoline price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Valvoline. By analyzing Valvoline's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Valvoline's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Valvoline specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004812 | 0.004571 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.42 | 2.37 |
Valvoline January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Valvoline help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Valvoline from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Valvoline charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (5,407) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Variance | 3.58 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.27 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.97) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.38 | |||
| Skewness | 0.1949 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.0463 |
Valvoline January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valvoline stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 31,248 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.47) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | ||
| Day Median Price | 32.77 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 32.70 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.35) |
Additional Tools for Valvoline Stock Analysis
When running Valvoline's price analysis, check to measure Valvoline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valvoline is operating at the current time. Most of Valvoline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valvoline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valvoline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valvoline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.