Exxon Mobil Corp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| XOM Stock | USD 109.57 0.90 0.83% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Exxon Mobil Corp is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Exxon's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Exxon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Exxon and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Exxon Mobil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
Exxon |
Execute Exxon Buy or Sell Advice
The Exxon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Exxon Mobil Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Exxon Mobil Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Exxon's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Exxon Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Exxon Mobil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 10th of December 2024 Exxon paid $ 0.99 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Ex-Pioneer CEO sues FTC for banning him from Exxon board |
Exxon Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Exxon's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Exxon's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Exxon daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Exxon Mobil Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Exxon returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Exxon.
| Mean Return | -0.14 | Value At Risk | -1.74 | Potential Upside | 1.71 | Standard Deviation | 1.11 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Exxon historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Exxon Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Exxon, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exxon Mobil Corp back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 38.4 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 36.1 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2024-09-30 | 33.5 M | Franklin Resources Inc | 2024-09-30 | 31.5 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-09-30 | 31.2 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 31.2 M | State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co | 2024-09-30 | 30.5 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 29.2 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-09-30 | 28.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 432.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 306.8 M |
Exxon Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (315M) | (489M) | (6.9B) | (3.5B) | (3.1B) | (3.0B) | |
| Change In Cash | 1.3B | 2.4B | 22.9B | 1.9B | 2.2B | 2.3B | |
| Free Cash Flow | (2.6B) | 36.1B | 58.4B | 33.5B | 38.5B | 40.4B | |
| Depreciation | 46.0B | 19.4B | 24.0B | 20.6B | 23.7B | 13.6B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 48.4B | 20.1B | 15.7B | 22.4B | 25.7B | 27.0B | |
| Dividends Paid | 14.9B | 14.9B | 14.9B | (14.9B) | (17.2B) | (16.3B) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 17.3B | 12.1B | 18.4B | 21.9B | 25.2B | 17.4B | |
| Net Income | (23.3B) | 23.6B | 57.6B | 36.0B | 41.4B | 21.9B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 4.4B | 6.8B | 29.7B | 31.6B | 36.3B | 38.1B | |
| Investments | (2.2B) | (1.3B) | (1.6B) | (19.3B) | (17.3B) | (16.5B) | |
| Change Receivables | (2.6B) | 5.4B | (12.1B) | (11.0B) | (9.9B) | (9.4B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 8.7B | 20.1B | (19.7B) | (7.2B) | (6.5B) | (6.2B) | |
| Change To Netincome | (3.6B) | (7.9B) | (1.6B) | 278M | 250.2M | 262.7M |
Exxon Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Exxon or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Exxon's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Exxon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Exxon Volatility Alert
Exxon Mobil Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.34 and kurtosis of 0.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Exxon's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Exxon's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Exxon Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Exxon's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Exxon's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Exxon and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Exxon or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Exxon's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exxon by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Exxon to competition |
| Fundamentals | Exxon | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0708 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 493.24 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 4.4 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.06 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 65.61 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 39.09 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.24 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.78 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.39 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 334.7 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 108.42 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 74.27 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 36.01 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 29.64 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 7.38 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 47.71 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.23 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.34 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 61.11 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 55.37 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.47 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 8.03 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 4.17 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 129.48 | |
| Number Of Employees | 62 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.88 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 477.61 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 376.32 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 453.93 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 31.29 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Exxon exotic insider transaction detected [view details]
Exxon Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Exxon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 138276.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8491 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 109.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 109.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.7 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.9 |
About Exxon Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Exxon Mobil Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Exxon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Exxon in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Financials Thematic Idea Now
Financials
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Exxon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. If investors know Exxon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exxon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Dividend Share 3.8 | Earnings Share 8.03 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Exxon Mobil Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exxon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exxon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exxon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exxon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exxon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exxon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exxon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exxon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.