Is Exxon Stock a Good Investment?

Exxon Investment Advice

  XOM
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Exxon Mobil Corp stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Exxon Mobil Corp. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Exxon in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Exxon's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Exxon's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Exxon navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space and any emerging trends that could impact Exxon's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Exxon's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Exxon is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Exxon pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Exxon's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Exxon Mobil Corp stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Exxon Mobil Corp is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Macroaxis provides advice on Exxon Mobil Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Exxon Mobil Corp. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Exxon is not overpriced, please confirm all Exxon Mobil Corp fundamentals, including its short ratio, and the relationship between the cash per share and market capitalization . Given that Exxon Mobil Corp has a price to earning of 9.24 X, we urge you to verify Exxon Mobil Corp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine Exxon Stock

Researching Exxon's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.81. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Exxon Mobil Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 19th of July 2001.
To determine if Exxon is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Exxon's research are outlined below:
Exxon Mobil Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
On 10th of December 2024 Exxon paid $ 0.99 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: AleAnna, Inc. Announces Completion of Business Combination between Swiftmerge Acquisition Corp. and AleAnna Energy, LLC

Exxon Quarterly Gross Profit

28.99 Billion

Exxon uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Exxon Mobil Corp. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Exxon's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
26th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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26th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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7th of February 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
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31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
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31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
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Earnings surprises can significantly impact Exxon's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Exxon's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-02-02
2020-12-310.010.030.02200 
1998-04-21
1998-03-310.340.380.0411 
1997-01-21
1996-12-310.380.420.0410 
1997-07-21
1997-06-300.350.40.0514 
2021-04-30
2021-03-310.590.650.0610 
2003-07-31
2003-06-300.560.620.0610 
2003-01-30
2002-12-310.50.560.0612 
2000-07-25
2000-06-300.530.590.0611 

Know Exxon's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Exxon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exxon Mobil Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Exxon's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Exxon's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
38.4 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
36.1 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
33.5 M
Franklin Resources Inc2024-09-30
31.5 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-09-30
31.2 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
31.2 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2024-09-30
30.5 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
29.2 M
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-09-30
28.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
432.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
303.4 M
Note, although Exxon's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Exxon's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 476.74 B.

Exxon's profitablity analysis

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.1 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.13 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.13 of operating income.
Determining Exxon's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Exxon is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Exxon's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Exxon's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Exxon's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate Exxon's management efficiency

Exxon Mobil Corp has Return on Asset of 0.0708 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0708 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1451 %, implying that it generated $0.1451 on every 100 dollars invested. Exxon's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Exxon manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
The management team at Exxon has a track record of steering the company towards sustained growth. Evaluating their strategies helps in understanding the stock's long-term potential.
Dividend Yield
0.0365
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0365
Forward Dividend Rate
3.96
Beta
0.88

Basic technical analysis of Exxon Stock

As of the 17th of December 2024, Exxon shows the Standard Deviation of 1.25, variance of 1.56, and Mean Deviation of 0.9242. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check existing technical drivers of Exxon, as well as the relationship between them. Please confirm Exxon Mobil Corp market risk adjusted performance and treynor ratio to decide if Exxon Mobil Corp is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 108.01 per share. Given that Exxon has information ratio of (0.08), we urge you to verify Exxon Mobil Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Exxon's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Exxon insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Exxon's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Exxon insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Exxon's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Exxon issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Exxon Mobil Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Exxon bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Exxon Mobil Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Exxon's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Exxon's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Exxon's intraday indicators

Exxon intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Exxon stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Exxon Corporate Filings

F4
16th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
12th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
4th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
13A
17th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
Exxon time-series forecasting models is one of many Exxon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Exxon's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Exxon Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Exxon that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Exxon media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Exxon internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Exxon data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Exxon news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Exxon relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Exxon's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Exxon alpha.

Exxon Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Exxon can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Exxon Mobil Corp Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Exxon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Exxon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Exxon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Exxon Mobil Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Exxon's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Exxon and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Exxon news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Exxon.

Exxon Corporate Directors

Steven ReinemundPresiding Independent DirectorProfile
Wan AriffinIndependent DirectorProfile
Samuel PalmisanoPresiding Independent DirectorProfile
William WeldonIndependent DirectorProfile

Already Invested in Exxon Mobil Corp?

The danger of trading Exxon Mobil Corp is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Exxon is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Exxon. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Exxon Mobil Corp is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Exxon Mobil Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Exxon's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Exxon's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Exxon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Exxon Mobil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. If investors know Exxon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exxon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Dividend Share
3.8
Earnings Share
8.03
Revenue Per Share
81.881
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Exxon Mobil Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exxon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exxon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exxon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exxon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exxon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Exxon's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Exxon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exxon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.