Exxon Mobil Corp Stock Technical Analysis
| XOM Stock | USD 151.59 0.38 0.25% |
As of the 10th of February, Exxon shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 326.92, downside deviation of 1.32, and Mean Deviation of 1.18. In respect to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model provides you with a way to check existing technical drivers of Exxon, as well as the relationship between them. Please confirm Exxon Mobil Corp market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and potential upside to decide if Exxon Mobil Corp is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 151.59 per share. Given that Exxon has jensen alpha of 0.4303, we urge you to verify Exxon Mobil Corp's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Exxon Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Exxon, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ExxonExxon's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Exxon Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 140.58 | Buy | 28 | Odds |
Most Exxon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Exxon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Exxon Mobil Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Exxon conference calls.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could Exxon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. Anticipated expansion of Exxon directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Exxon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Dividend Share 4 | Earnings Share 6.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Investors evaluate Exxon Mobil Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Exxon's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Exxon's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exxon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exxon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Exxon's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Exxon 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Exxon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Exxon.
| 11/12/2025 |
| 02/10/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Exxon on November 12, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Exxon Mobil Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Exxon over 90 days. Exxon is related to or competes with Shell PLC, BP PLC, Suncor Energy, Petroleo Brasileiro, Chevron Corp, TotalEnergies, and Equinor ASA. Exxon Mobil Corporation explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States and internationally More
Exxon Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Exxon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Exxon Mobil Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2392 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 |
Exxon Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Exxon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Exxon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Exxon historical prices to predict the future Exxon's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2499 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4303 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2786 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2665 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 3.64 |
Exxon February 10, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2499 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 3.65 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9279 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 326.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2392 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4303 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2786 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2665 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 3.64 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8609 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.41) | |||
| Skewness | (0.05) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.0009) |
Exxon Mobil Corp Backtested Returns
Exxon appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Exxon Mobil Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.29, which denotes the company had a 0.29 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Exxon Mobil Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Exxon's Mean Deviation of 1.18, coefficient of variation of 326.92, and Downside Deviation of 1.32 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Exxon holds a performance score of 23. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.12, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Exxon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Exxon is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Exxon's maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether Exxon's price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.26 |
Poor predictability
Exxon Mobil Corp has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Exxon time series from 12th of November 2025 to 27th of December 2025 and 27th of December 2025 to 10th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Exxon Mobil Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Exxon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.26 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.22 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 98.19 |
Exxon technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Exxon Mobil Corp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Exxon Mobil Corp across different markets.
About Exxon Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Exxon Mobil Corp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exxon Mobil Corp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Exxon Mobil Corp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Exxon Mobil Corp. By analyzing Exxon's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Exxon's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Exxon specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2022 | 2023 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0322 | 0.0369 | 0.0406 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.16 | 1.21 | 0.83 |
Exxon February 10, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Exxon help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exxon from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Exxon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2499 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 3.65 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9279 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 326.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Variance | 2.17 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2392 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.4303 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2786 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.2665 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 3.64 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.85 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.11) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.75 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8609 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.41) | |||
| Skewness | (0.05) | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.0009) |
Exxon February 10, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Exxon stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 203,961 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.19 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 150.80 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 151.06 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.98 |
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Exxon Mobil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Will Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector continue expanding? Could Exxon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. Anticipated expansion of Exxon directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Exxon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Dividend Share 4 | Earnings Share 6.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Investors evaluate Exxon Mobil Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Exxon's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Exxon's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exxon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exxon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Exxon's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.