Exxon Valuation

XOM Stock  USD 109.57  0.90  0.83%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Exxon Mobil Corp shows a prevailing Real Value of $120.71 per share. The current price of the firm is $109.57. Our model computes the value of Exxon Mobil Corp from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.1 %, shares outstanding of 4.4 B, and Current Valuation of 493.24 B as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Exxon's valuation include:
Price Book
1.7782
Enterprise Value
493.2 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
6.5544
Price Sales
1.4007
Forward PE
12.5
Undervalued
Today
109.57
Please note that Exxon's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Exxon Mobil Corp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Exxon's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Exxon stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Exxon Mobil Corp. Since Exxon is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Exxon Stock. However, Exxon's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  109.57 Real  120.71 Target  129.75 Hype  109.66 Naive  105.4
The intrinsic value of Exxon's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Exxon's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
120.71
Real Value
121.85
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Exxon Mobil Corp helps investors to forecast how Exxon stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Exxon more accurately as focusing exclusively on Exxon's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
1.901.931.99
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
108.52109.66110.80
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
2.442.512.57
Details
28 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
118.07129.75144.02
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Exxon's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Exxon's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Exxon's closest peers.

Exxon Cash

38.12 Billion

Exxon Valuation Trend

Knowing Exxon's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Exxon's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Exxon Revenue by Product

Exxon Total Value Analysis

Exxon Mobil Corp is at this time estimated to have company total value of 493.24 B with market capitalization of 481.57 B, debt of 47.71 B, and cash on hands of 29.64 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Exxon fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
493.24 B
481.57 B
47.71 B
29.64 B

Exxon Investor Information

About 66.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Exxon Mobil Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 19th of July 2001. Based on the analysis of Exxon's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Exxon Mobil Corp may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities34.4 B63.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Exxon Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Exxon has an asset utilization ratio of 88.94 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.89 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Exxon Mobil Corp is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Exxon Ownership Allocation

Exxon holds a total of 4.4 Billion outstanding shares. Over half of Exxon's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that obtain positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that on January 16, 2025, Representative Kevin Hern of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of Exxon Mobil Corp's common stock.

Exxon Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 334.7 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 36.01 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 108.42 B.

Exxon Past Distributions to stockholders

About Exxon Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exxon Mobil Corp. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Exxon Mobil Corp based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Exxon's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Exxon's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Exxon. We calculate exposure to Exxon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Exxon's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit95.8 B95.7 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.14  0.09 
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.10  0.05 
Gross Profit Margin 0.29  0.42 

Exxon Quarterly Retained Earnings

467.66 Billion

Exxon's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Exxon's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Exxon can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Exxon represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Exxon, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Exxon Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of the 30th of January 2025, Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to grow to 0.55, while Dividends Paid is likely to drop about 9.2 B. . At this time, Exxon's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of January 2025, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 16.51, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop about 408.1 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid17.2 B9.2 B
Dividend Yield 0.03  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.48  0.55 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.35  1.03 
There are various types of dividends Exxon can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Exxon shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Exxon Mobil Corp directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Exxon pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Exxon by the value of the dividends paid out.

Exxon Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Exxon does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.1 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.147
Forward Price Earnings12.5

Exxon Current Valuation Indicators

Exxon's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Exxon's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Exxon, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Exxon's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Exxon's worth.
When determining whether Exxon Mobil Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Exxon's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Exxon's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Exxon Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Exxon Mobil Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. If investors know Exxon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exxon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.15)
Dividend Share
3.8
Earnings Share
8.03
Revenue Per Share
81.881
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Exxon Mobil Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exxon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exxon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exxon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exxon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exxon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exxon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Exxon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exxon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.