XPO Logistics Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

XPO Stock  USD 145.15  6.36  4.58%   
XPO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although XPO Logistics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of XPO Logistics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of XPO Logistics fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of XPO Logistics' share price is at 54. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling XPO Logistics, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of XPO Logistics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with XPO Logistics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting XPO Logistics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.856
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.6494
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.4253
Wall Street Target Price
153.08
Using XPO Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of XPO Logistics from the perspective of XPO Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards XPO Logistics using XPO Logistics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards XPO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of XPO Logistics' stock price.

XPO Logistics Short Interest

An investor who is long XPO Logistics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about XPO Logistics and may potentially protect profits, hedge XPO Logistics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
125.5456
Short Percent
0.1128
Short Ratio
6.6
Shares Short Prior Month
9.4 M
50 Day MA
137.7396

XPO Logistics Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to XPO Logistics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in XPO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding XPO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around XPO Logistics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of XPO Logistics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about XPO Logistics.

XPO Logistics Implied Volatility

    
  0.57  
XPO Logistics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of XPO Logistics stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if XPO Logistics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that XPO Logistics stock will not fluctuate a lot when XPO Logistics' options are near their expiration.

XPO Logistics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 145.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XPO Logistics to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide.As of the 6th of January 2026, Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 1.69, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 146.08. . As of the 6th of January 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 144.9 M. Also, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 467.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 XPO Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast XPO Logistics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in XPO Logistics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for XPO Logistics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current XPO Logistics' open interest, investors have to compare it to XPO Logistics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of XPO Logistics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in XPO. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

XPO Logistics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine XPO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XPO using various technical indicators. When you analyze XPO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
XPO Logistics has current Accumulation Distribution of 65701.26. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which XPO Logistics is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of XPO Logistics to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by XPO Logistics trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check XPO Logistics VolatilityBacktest XPO LogisticsInformation Ratio  

XPO Logistics Trading Date Momentum

On January 05 2026 XPO Logistics was traded for  145.15  at the closing time. Highest XPO Logistics's price during the trading hours was 146.64  and the lowest price during the day was  138.34 . The net volume was 1.2 M. The overall trading history on the 5th of January had no short-term effect on price fluctuation. The trading price change to current price is 4.40% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare XPO Logistics to competition

Other Forecasting Options for XPO Logistics

For every potential investor in XPO, whether a beginner or expert, XPO Logistics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. XPO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in XPO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying XPO Logistics' price trends.

XPO Logistics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with XPO Logistics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of XPO Logistics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing XPO Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

XPO Logistics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of XPO Logistics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of XPO Logistics' current price.

XPO Logistics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how XPO Logistics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading XPO Logistics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying XPO Logistics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify XPO Logistics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

XPO Logistics Risk Indicators

The analysis of XPO Logistics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in XPO Logistics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting xpo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with XPO Logistics

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if XPO Logistics position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in XPO Logistics will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with XPO Stock

  0.71EXPD Expeditors InternationalPairCorr
  0.67FDX FedExPairCorr

Moving against XPO Stock

  0.72HKPD Hong Kong PharmaPairCorr
  0.66AIRT Air T IncPairCorr
  0.65CJMB Callan JMB CommonPairCorr
  0.57GVH Globavend HoldingsPairCorr
  0.57000099 Citic Offshore HelicopterPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to XPO Logistics could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace XPO Logistics when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back XPO Logistics - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling XPO Logistics to buy it.
The correlation of XPO Logistics is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as XPO Logistics moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if XPO Logistics moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for XPO Logistics can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether XPO Logistics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of XPO Logistics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Xpo Logistics Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Xpo Logistics Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of XPO Logistics to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in XPO Stock, please use our How to Invest in XPO Logistics guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of XPO Logistics. If investors know XPO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about XPO Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Earnings Share
2.79
Revenue Per Share
68.664
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.028
Return On Assets
0.0567
The market value of XPO Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of XPO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of XPO Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is XPO Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because XPO Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect XPO Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between XPO Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if XPO Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, XPO Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.