Diebold Nixdorf Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DBD Stock  USD 67.89  0.74  1.08%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 67.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.85. Diebold Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Diebold Nixdorf stock prices and determine the direction of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Diebold Nixdorf's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Diebold Nixdorf's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Diebold Nixdorf's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Diebold Nixdorf and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Diebold Nixdorf's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Diebold Nixdorf's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.4167
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.1233
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.0167
Wall Street Target Price
79
Using Diebold Nixdorf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated from the perspective of Diebold Nixdorf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Diebold Nixdorf using Diebold Nixdorf's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Diebold using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Diebold Nixdorf's stock price.

Diebold Nixdorf Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Diebold Nixdorf's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Diebold. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Diebold Nixdorf stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
55.5465
Short Percent
0.0437
Short Ratio
3.71
Shares Short Prior Month
761.6 K
50 Day MA
63.7218

Diebold Nixdorf Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Diebold Nixdorf's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Diebold. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Diebold can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Diebold Nixdorf's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Diebold Nixdorf.

Diebold Nixdorf Implied Volatility

    
  0.55  
Diebold Nixdorf's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Diebold Nixdorf's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Diebold Nixdorf stock will not fluctuate a lot when Diebold Nixdorf's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 67.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.85.

Diebold Nixdorf after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf to cross-verify your projections.
The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 10.34, whereas Inventory Turnover is forecasted to decline to 3.96. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 74.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Diebold Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Diebold Nixdorf's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Diebold Nixdorf's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Diebold Nixdorf stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Diebold Nixdorf's open interest, investors have to compare it to Diebold Nixdorf's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Diebold Nixdorf is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Diebold. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Diebold Nixdorf Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Diebold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diebold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diebold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Diebold Nixdorf Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Diebold Nixdorf's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1985-09-30
Previous Quarter
279.2 M
Current Value
262.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
149.5 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Diebold Nixdorf is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Diebold Nixdorf Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 67.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13, mean absolute percentage error of 2.37, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diebold Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diebold Nixdorf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Diebold Nixdorf Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Diebold NixdorfDiebold Nixdorf Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Diebold Nixdorf Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Diebold Nixdorf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diebold Nixdorf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 64.91 and 69.88, respectively. We have considered Diebold Nixdorf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
67.89
67.39
Expected Value
69.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diebold Nixdorf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diebold Nixdorf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9743
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1287
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0183
SAESum of the absolute errors68.8536
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Diebold Nixdorf. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Diebold Nixdorf

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diebold Nixdorf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.002.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.8416.7719.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
64.2367.0769.92
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
71.8979.0087.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Diebold Nixdorf. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Diebold Nixdorf's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Diebold Nixdorf's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Diebold Nixdorf.

Other Forecasting Options for Diebold Nixdorf

For every potential investor in Diebold, whether a beginner or expert, Diebold Nixdorf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diebold Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diebold. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diebold Nixdorf's price trends.

Diebold Nixdorf Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diebold Nixdorf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diebold Nixdorf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diebold Nixdorf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Diebold Nixdorf Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Diebold Nixdorf's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Diebold Nixdorf's current price.

Diebold Nixdorf Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diebold Nixdorf stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diebold Nixdorf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diebold Nixdorf stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Diebold Nixdorf Risk Indicators

The analysis of Diebold Nixdorf's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diebold Nixdorf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diebold stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Diebold Nixdorf is a strong investment it is important to analyze Diebold Nixdorf's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Diebold Nixdorf's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Diebold Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diebold Nixdorf. If investors know Diebold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Diebold Nixdorf listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Earnings Share
1.35
Revenue Per Share
99.138
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.02
Return On Assets
0.0431
The market value of Diebold Nixdorf is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Diebold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Diebold Nixdorf's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Diebold Nixdorf's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Diebold Nixdorf's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Diebold Nixdorf's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diebold Nixdorf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diebold Nixdorf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diebold Nixdorf's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.