Diebold Nixdorf Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DBD Stock | USD 70.00 1.93 2.68% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 70.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.54. Diebold Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Diebold Nixdorf stock prices and determine the direction of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Diebold Nixdorf's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Diebold Nixdorf's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4167 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.1233 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0167 | Wall Street Target Price 79 |
Using Diebold Nixdorf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated from the perspective of Diebold Nixdorf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Diebold Nixdorf using Diebold Nixdorf's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Diebold using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Diebold Nixdorf's stock price.
Diebold Nixdorf Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Diebold Nixdorf's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Diebold. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Diebold Nixdorf stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 57.2731 | Short Percent 0.0442 | Short Ratio 3.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 849.6 K | 50 Day MA 66.3354 |
Diebold Nixdorf Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Diebold Nixdorf's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Diebold. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Diebold can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Diebold Nixdorf Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Diebold Nixdorf's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Diebold Nixdorf's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Diebold Nixdorf stock will not fluctuate a lot when Diebold Nixdorf's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 70.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.54. Diebold Nixdorf after-hype prediction price | USD 72.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Diebold contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Diebold Nixdorf trading at USD 70.0, that is roughly USD 0.0228 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Diebold Nixdorf's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Diebold Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Diebold Nixdorf's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Diebold Nixdorf's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Diebold Nixdorf stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Diebold Nixdorf's open interest, investors have to compare it to Diebold Nixdorf's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Diebold Nixdorf is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Diebold. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Diebold Nixdorf Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Diebold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diebold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diebold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Diebold Nixdorf Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 70.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.03, mean absolute percentage error of 2.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diebold Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diebold Nixdorf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Diebold Nixdorf Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Diebold Nixdorf | Diebold Nixdorf Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Diebold Nixdorf Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Diebold Nixdorf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diebold Nixdorf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 67.53 and 72.46, respectively. We have considered Diebold Nixdorf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diebold Nixdorf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diebold Nixdorf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.13 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1883 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0257 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0159 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 61.545 |
Predictive Modules for Diebold Nixdorf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diebold Nixdorf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Diebold Nixdorf After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Diebold Nixdorf at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diebold Nixdorf or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diebold Nixdorf, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Diebold Nixdorf Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Diebold Nixdorf's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diebold Nixdorf's historical news coverage. Diebold Nixdorf's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.55 and 74.47, respectively. We have considered Diebold Nixdorf's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Diebold Nixdorf is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diebold Nixdorf is based on 3 months time horizon.
Diebold Nixdorf Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diebold Nixdorf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diebold Nixdorf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diebold Nixdorf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.46 | 0.50 | 0.03 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
70.00 | 72.01 | 0.11 |
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Diebold Nixdorf Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Diebold Nixdorf is traded for 70.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Diebold is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 72.01 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 182.22%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Diebold Nixdorf is about 3617.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.03. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.75 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (14.5 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 940.1 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf to cross-verify your projections.Diebold Nixdorf Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Diebold Nixdorf's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diebold Nixdorf's future price movements. Getting to know how Diebold Nixdorf's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diebold Nixdorf may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALKT | Alkami Technology | 1.08 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.37 | (3.91) | 12.38 | |
| NP | Neptune Insurance Holdings | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.62 | (0.02) | 5.29 | (3.89) | 15.06 | |
| WBTN | WEBTOON Entertainment Common | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.36 | (4.58) | 28.27 | |
| EVCM | EverCommerce | 0.21 | 9 per month | 4.52 | 0.05 | 4.95 | (5.45) | 22.27 | |
| CXM | Sprinklr | 0.04 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.65 | (3.99) | 10.05 | |
| PLUS | ePlus inc | (0.45) | 11 per month | 1.15 | 0.11 | 3.71 | (2.17) | 19.34 | |
| APPN | Appian Corp | 0.05 | 11 per month | 2.73 | 0.01 | 5.03 | (4.62) | 37.82 | |
| ALRM | Alarm Holdings | 0.36 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.73 | (1.72) | 9.93 | |
| SPNS | Sapiens International | 0.09 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.28 | (0.12) | 32,006 | |
| PRGS | Progress Software | (0.66) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.20 | (3.74) | 10.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Diebold Nixdorf
For every potential investor in Diebold, whether a beginner or expert, Diebold Nixdorf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diebold Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diebold. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diebold Nixdorf's price trends.Diebold Nixdorf Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diebold Nixdorf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diebold Nixdorf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diebold Nixdorf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Diebold Nixdorf Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diebold Nixdorf stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diebold Nixdorf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diebold Nixdorf stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Diebold Nixdorf Risk Indicators
The analysis of Diebold Nixdorf's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diebold Nixdorf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diebold stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Variance | 5.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.05 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Diebold Nixdorf
The number of cover stories for Diebold Nixdorf depends on current market conditions and Diebold Nixdorf's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diebold Nixdorf is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diebold Nixdorf's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Diebold Nixdorf Short Properties
Diebold Nixdorf's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diebold Nixdorf's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diebold Nixdorf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diebold Nixdorf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 313.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diebold Nixdorf. If investors know Diebold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Diebold Nixdorf listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 1.35 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.02 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Diebold Nixdorf is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Diebold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Diebold Nixdorf's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Diebold Nixdorf's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Diebold Nixdorf's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Diebold Nixdorf's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diebold Nixdorf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diebold Nixdorf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diebold Nixdorf's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.