Diebold Nixdorf Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| DBD Stock | USD 71.93 2.14 3.07% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 71.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.99. Diebold Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Diebold Nixdorf stock prices and determine the direction of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Diebold Nixdorf's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Diebold Nixdorf's stock price is about 62 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Diebold, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Diebold Nixdorf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated from the perspective of Diebold Nixdorf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 71.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.99. Diebold Nixdorf after-hype prediction price | USD 71.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf to cross-verify your projections. Diebold Nixdorf Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Diebold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diebold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diebold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Diebold Nixdorf Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 71.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52, mean absolute percentage error of 3.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diebold Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diebold Nixdorf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Diebold Nixdorf Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Diebold Nixdorf | Diebold Nixdorf Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Diebold Nixdorf Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Diebold Nixdorf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diebold Nixdorf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.59 and 73.52, respectively. We have considered Diebold Nixdorf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diebold Nixdorf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diebold Nixdorf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.2257 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.516 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0237 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 93.9937 |
Predictive Modules for Diebold Nixdorf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diebold Nixdorf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Diebold Nixdorf After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Diebold Nixdorf at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diebold Nixdorf or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diebold Nixdorf, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Diebold Nixdorf Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Diebold Nixdorf's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diebold Nixdorf's historical news coverage. Diebold Nixdorf's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.49 and 74.37, respectively. We have considered Diebold Nixdorf's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Diebold Nixdorf is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diebold Nixdorf is based on 3 months time horizon.
Diebold Nixdorf Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diebold Nixdorf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diebold Nixdorf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diebold Nixdorf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.46 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 23 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 23 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71.93 | 71.93 | 0.00 |
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Diebold Nixdorf Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Diebold Nixdorf is traded for 71.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Diebold is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Diebold Nixdorf is about 2562.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.97. About 98.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Diebold Nixdorf was currently reported as 30.58. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.52. Diebold Nixdorf last dividend was issued on the 23rd of February 2018. The entity had 3:2 split on the 20th of February 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 23 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf to cross-verify your projections.Diebold Nixdorf Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Diebold Nixdorf's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diebold Nixdorf's future price movements. Getting to know how Diebold Nixdorf's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diebold Nixdorf may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALKT | Alkami Technology | 0.22 | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.37 | (3.91) | 12.38 | |
| NP | Neptune Insurance Holdings | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.62 | (0.02) | 5.29 | (3.89) | 15.06 | |
| WBTN | WEBTOON Entertainment Common | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.36 | (4.58) | 28.27 | |
| EVCM | EverCommerce | 0.21 | 9 per month | 4.52 | 0.05 | 4.95 | (5.45) | 22.27 | |
| CXM | Sprinklr | 0.04 | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.65 | (3.99) | 10.05 | |
| PLUS | ePlus inc | 0.04 | 13 per month | 1.15 | 0.11 | 3.71 | (2.17) | 19.34 | |
| APPN | Appian Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.03 | (4.62) | 37.82 | |
| ALRM | Alarm Holdings | 0.36 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.73 | (1.72) | 9.93 | |
| SPNS | Sapiens International | 0.09 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.32 | (0.09) | 1,000.00 | |
| PRGS | Progress Software | 0.04 | 32 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.20 | (3.74) | 10.11 |
Other Forecasting Options for Diebold Nixdorf
For every potential investor in Diebold, whether a beginner or expert, Diebold Nixdorf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diebold Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diebold. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diebold Nixdorf's price trends.Diebold Nixdorf Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diebold Nixdorf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diebold Nixdorf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diebold Nixdorf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Diebold Nixdorf Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diebold Nixdorf stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diebold Nixdorf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diebold Nixdorf stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Diebold Nixdorf Risk Indicators
The analysis of Diebold Nixdorf's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diebold Nixdorf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diebold stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Variance | 5.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Diebold Nixdorf
The number of cover stories for Diebold Nixdorf depends on current market conditions and Diebold Nixdorf's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diebold Nixdorf is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diebold Nixdorf's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Diebold Nixdorf Short Properties
Diebold Nixdorf's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diebold Nixdorf's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diebold Nixdorf Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diebold Nixdorf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diebold Nixdorf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 313.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diebold Nixdorf to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diebold Nixdorf. If investors know Diebold will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Diebold Nixdorf listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Diebold Nixdorf is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Diebold that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Diebold Nixdorf's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Diebold Nixdorf's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Diebold Nixdorf's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Diebold Nixdorf's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diebold Nixdorf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diebold Nixdorf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diebold Nixdorf's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.