Correlation Between Assured Guaranty and Radian

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Assured Guaranty and Radian at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Assured Guaranty and Radian into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Assured Guaranty and Radian Group, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Assured Guaranty and Radian and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Assured Guaranty with a short position of Radian. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Assured Guaranty and Radian.

Diversification Opportunities for Assured Guaranty and Radian

-0.25
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Assured and Radian is -0.25. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Assured Guaranty and Radian Group in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Radian Group and Assured Guaranty is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Assured Guaranty are associated (or correlated) with Radian. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Radian Group has no effect on the direction of Assured Guaranty i.e., Assured Guaranty and Radian go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Assured Guaranty and Radian

Considering the 90-day investment horizon Assured Guaranty is expected to generate 0.73 times more return on investment than Radian. However, Assured Guaranty is 1.36 times less risky than Radian. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Radian Group is currently generating about 0.08 per unit of risk. If you would invest  8,476  in Assured Guaranty on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  993.00  from holding Assured Guaranty or generate 11.72% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Assured Guaranty  vs.  Radian Group

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Assured Guaranty 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Assured Guaranty are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, Assured Guaranty displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Radian Group 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Radian Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Radian is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Assured Guaranty and Radian Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Assured Guaranty and Radian

The main advantage of trading using opposite Assured Guaranty and Radian positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Assured Guaranty position performs unexpectedly, Radian can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Radian will offset losses from the drop in Radian's long position.
The idea behind Assured Guaranty and Radian Group pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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