Correlation Between Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC and Cincinnati Financial, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Avadel Pharmaceuticals with a short position of Cincinnati Financial. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial.

Diversification Opportunities for Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial

-0.47
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Avadel and Cincinnati is -0.47. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC and Cincinnati Financial in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Cincinnati Financial and Avadel Pharmaceuticals is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC are associated (or correlated) with Cincinnati Financial. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Cincinnati Financial has no effect on the direction of Avadel Pharmaceuticals i.e., Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC is expected to generate 2.43 times more return on investment than Cincinnati Financial. However, Avadel Pharmaceuticals is 2.43 times more volatile than Cincinnati Financial. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Cincinnati Financial is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  824.00  in Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC on September 3, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  282.00  from holding Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC or generate 34.22% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC  vs.  Cincinnati Financial

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Avadel Pharmaceuticals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
Cincinnati Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Cincinnati Financial are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly weak basic indicators, Cincinnati Financial reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial

The main advantage of trading using opposite Avadel Pharmaceuticals and Cincinnati Financial positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Avadel Pharmaceuticals position performs unexpectedly, Cincinnati Financial can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cincinnati Financial will offset losses from the drop in Cincinnati Financial's long position.
The idea behind Avadel Pharmaceuticals PLC and Cincinnati Financial pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

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