Correlation Between Byline Bancorp and First Merchants

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Byline Bancorp and First Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Byline Bancorp and First Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Byline Bancorp and First Merchants, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Byline Bancorp and First Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Byline Bancorp with a short position of First Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Byline Bancorp and First Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for Byline Bancorp and First Merchants

0.66
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Byline and First is 0.66. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Byline Bancorp and First Merchants in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Merchants and Byline Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Byline Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with First Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Merchants has no effect on the direction of Byline Bancorp i.e., Byline Bancorp and First Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Byline Bancorp and First Merchants

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Byline Bancorp is expected to generate 2.6 times more return on investment than First Merchants. However, Byline Bancorp is 2.6 times more volatile than First Merchants. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Merchants is currently generating about 0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,975  in Byline Bancorp on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,222  from holding Byline Bancorp or generate 61.85% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Byline Bancorp  vs.  First Merchants

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Byline Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Byline Bancorp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly inconsistent basic indicators, Byline Bancorp showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Merchants 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

6 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Merchants are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively invariable technical and fundamental indicators, First Merchants is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors.

Byline Bancorp and First Merchants Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Byline Bancorp and First Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite Byline Bancorp and First Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Byline Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, First Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Merchants will offset losses from the drop in First Merchants' long position.
The idea behind Byline Bancorp and First Merchants pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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