First Merchants Stock Performance

First Merchants Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,516  in First Merchants on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  66.00  from holding First Merchants or generate 2.62% return on investment over 90 days. First Merchants is currently producing 0.0467% returns and takes up 0.8447% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded stocks are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.Assuming the 90 days horizon First Merchants is expected to generate 2.42 times less return on investment than the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.13 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

First Merchants Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Assuming the 90 days horizon First Merchants has a beta of -0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Merchants are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Merchants is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Merchants has an alpha of 0.0215, implying that it can generate a 0.0215 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).

Predictive Modules for First Merchants

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Merchants. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 24.96 25.80 26.64 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 20.76 21.60 28.40 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 25.14 25.99 26.83 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Lower Middle Band Upper 22.15 25.64 29.14 Details

First Merchants Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Merchants is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Merchants' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Merchants, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Merchants within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.

First Merchants Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Merchants for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Merchants can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

First Merchants Price Density Drivers

First Merchants Fundamentals Growth

When running First Merchants' price analysis, check to measure First Merchants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Merchants is operating at the current time. Most of First Merchants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Merchants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Merchants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Merchants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.