Correlation Between Civista Bancshares and First Mid

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Civista Bancshares and First Mid at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Civista Bancshares and First Mid into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Civista Bancshares and First Mid Illinois, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Civista Bancshares and First Mid and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Civista Bancshares with a short position of First Mid. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Civista Bancshares and First Mid.

Diversification Opportunities for Civista Bancshares and First Mid

0.72
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Civista and First is 0.72. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Civista Bancshares and First Mid Illinois in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Mid Illinois and Civista Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Civista Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with First Mid. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Mid Illinois has no effect on the direction of Civista Bancshares i.e., Civista Bancshares and First Mid go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Civista Bancshares and First Mid

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Civista Bancshares is expected to generate 0.79 times more return on investment than First Mid. However, Civista Bancshares is 1.26 times less risky than First Mid. It trades about 0.38 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Mid Illinois is currently generating about 0.14 per unit of risk. If you would invest  1,835  in Civista Bancshares on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  445.00  from holding Civista Bancshares or generate 24.25% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Civista Bancshares  vs.  First Mid Illinois

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Civista Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

21 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Civista Bancshares are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile basic indicators, Civista Bancshares sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Mid Illinois 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Mid Illinois are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak fundamental drivers, First Mid may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in December 2024.

Civista Bancshares and First Mid Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Civista Bancshares and First Mid

The main advantage of trading using opposite Civista Bancshares and First Mid positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Civista Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, First Mid can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Mid will offset losses from the drop in First Mid's long position.
The idea behind Civista Bancshares and First Mid Illinois pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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