Correlation Between Cotton and Gold Futures

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Cotton and Gold Futures at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Cotton and Gold Futures into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Cotton and Gold Futures, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Cotton and Gold Futures and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Cotton with a short position of Gold Futures. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Cotton and Gold Futures.

Diversification Opportunities for Cotton and Gold Futures

-0.08
  Correlation Coefficient

Good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Cotton and Gold is -0.08. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Cotton and Gold Futures in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Gold Futures and Cotton is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Cotton are associated (or correlated) with Gold Futures. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Gold Futures has no effect on the direction of Cotton i.e., Cotton and Gold Futures go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Cotton and Gold Futures

Assuming the 90 days horizon Cotton is expected to under-perform the Gold Futures. In addition to that, Cotton is 1.68 times more volatile than Gold Futures. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. Gold Futures is currently generating about 0.09 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  182,600  in Gold Futures on September 19, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  83,520  from holding Gold Futures or generate 45.74% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy98.04%
ValuesDaily Returns

Cotton  vs.  Gold Futures

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Cotton 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Cotton has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Commodity's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for Cotton investors.
Gold Futures 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Gold Futures are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Gold Futures is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

Cotton and Gold Futures Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Cotton and Gold Futures

The main advantage of trading using opposite Cotton and Gold Futures positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Cotton position performs unexpectedly, Gold Futures can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gold Futures will offset losses from the drop in Gold Futures' long position.
The idea behind Cotton and Gold Futures pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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